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Fezzik's Focus: NFL Power Ratings, Week 16

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Thread Starter Fezzik's Focus: NFL Power Ratings, Week 16
Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 5890
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Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, along with their rating last week, and their current rating.   Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank HFA indicates an average HFA).  To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA.  Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it  typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.

Note, most handicappers use 3 for an average HFA. Recent data (the last 3 years) suggests 2.5 MAY be a more accurate number.

6-Sep 14-Dec 21-Dec   HFA
     
Arizona 5 0.5 -0.5 3.5
Atlanta -1.5 4 5  
Baltimore 1 1 1  
Buffalo 0 -1 0  
Carolina 6 -1 0
Chicago -2.5 -6.5 -5 2
Cincy 3.5 0.5 0  
Cleveland -7.5 -11 -12 2
Dallas -1.5 6 6  
Denver 0.5 2.5 1.5  
Detroit -2 0 0
Green Bay 5.5 2 2 4
Houston 1 -2 -0.5  
Indy -0.5 -0.5 0.5  
Jax -2 -5.5 -5.5 1.5
KC 3 2.5 2  
LA -2.5 -6.5 -6 2
Mia -1.5 -1.5 0.5 1.5
Minny 0 0.5 -1 4
NEW Eng 1.5 7.5 8 4
New Orl -3 -1 0  
NYG -1 1.5 1.5 2
NYJ 0 -6.5 -8 1.5
Oakland 0.5 2 2  
Philly -5 -2.5 -3 2
Pit 5 5 5.5  
SD -1.5 -0.5 -1.5 1.5
SF -7 -8.5 -10.5 2
Sea 5.5 5 5.5 4
Tampa  0 1.5 1.5 2
Ten  -3 1 2 2
Wash -0.5 2 1  

On the handicapping front, I am in action TONIGHT with my CFB 3* Bowl game of the Week!  I am undefeated in the CFB Bowl season, and I have been red hot in Football in general all of December.   Let's keep the momentum going!

http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY

Steve Fezzik - Only 2-Time SuperContest Champion | @FezzikSports

jeff232323
Joined: 03/13/2011
Posts: 786
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Minnesota has lost 3 of there last 4 home games not sure 4 for HFA is accurate at this point in the year?

TLF18
Joined: 10/18/2013
Posts: 1053
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Value on Tenn at Jax this week.

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 17141
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RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas

I. P. Freely
Joined: 12/22/2016
Posts: 3
Waterboy
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Trying to make the best Survivor pick from a questionable trio.  Tenn at Jack, SD @ Clev., and Indy @ Oakland.  Picks are Tenn, SD, or Oakland.  What do you think

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