so after listening to the pods, reading every opinion out there, i've come up with my card for Sunday - best of luck all!
19-17 Broncos
- I expect both teams to be in the teens late in the 4th and someone leading a game winning FG drive. dont really care who!
- I think both defenses dominate. Dave detailed the issues the Carolina WR's will have with Denver's corners and I believe Denver will have an impossible time throwing on Carolina's excellent pass D (5.9 YPA).
- Like most games, it'll come down to the turnovers and while every model in the world will project Denver to have 3, i think they'll play the game so close the vest we'll get a 1-1 turnover type game. Without the short fields, i see Carolina having a tough time going down the field. Cam may have running lanes but not enough to mainstain an 80 yard drive. There will be no short fields tomorrow
With that here is my portfolio
1) Carolina -130 Future/Offset by Denver +6 for the same amount. NOT A HEDGE. I think both bets have positive value
2) Denver under 20.5 pts
3) Under 45.5 MAX wager
4) Over 10 punts +110
5) Panthers D over 2.5 sacks
6) Durant -6.5pts over Manning completions
7) Curry -4.5pts over Carolina pts
8) Scoreless quarter? YES +260
9) Newton under 19.5 completions
10) Parlay: Denver +7 -130/under 45.5
11) Newton to throw INT before TD +170
12) Newton under 2 tds -170
13) Manning No INT +170
14) There will be a tie in the game after 0-0
15) Total net yards under 664.5
16) Lowest scoring quarter will have under 3.5pts
17) Alternate Total under 39.5 +180 (love this one)
18) C. Anthony -2 Newton Completions
19) Anthem under 136.5 seconds -160
20) Manning under 237.5 passing yards
21) Small dumb long shots for pizza money: Vernon Davis first td +2300, game tied at half/denver wins +1600, no TD in game +7000, Cam to be leading rusher +650
BEST OF LUCK AND HAVE FUUN!