I don't know if I can possibly agree with "early pro money on denver".
Westgate opened 5.5. Pros played +5.5. NO WAY imo, there was/is ANY reason to bet Denver +4 or less in this game. YES, this week some Pros BOMBED in Denver +3.5 and then +3 AT HOME vs. the Pats.
Now, Denver has to play a team every bit as good, but on a neutral site........
If this game goes back to 3.4, then I will retract my words but I think a big Denver bet plus 3.5 was a donk bet. Denver was +2.9 (a bit of 2.5 mostly 3) on the lookahead. When Denver was up 20-12, I made the game send out Denver +2.5 if the NFC game was close. Then Denver started leaking oil late vs. the Pats, and Carolina crushed a Az team that is better than Denver. Surely those two events have to be worth 1.5 points?
Carolina is now 21-1? Good luck beating them getting +3.5.........with a washed up QB that has to go on the road now.......I KNOW a solid SB trend has been taking the better defense, but my initial feel on this game is that this Denver team feels a lot like the the one in the 1980s that barely won home games in Mile High, then got blasted in the SB.......two nice TD passes for Manning to Daniels, but after that the offense did little, and the D held on ..........with the altitude helping.
Teams scoring 40+ get over valued. And the reason they get overvalued is that the market steams on them. If you want Denver, I think you should wait.........