take a teams +/- vs spread each week,,,,say Pitt wins by 7 as -3 tthen they get +4 for the week, beat spread by 4....if lost by 10 they would get -13 since 3 pt fav..........use 3 week totals so week 5 u drop off week one and use weeks 2 3 4 unless team was on bye in week 4.
checked last week and here is how it panned out.............we'll see how this week does.
last week
taking a (- ) team vs (+) team was 6-1 ats.........the minus team is due to improve and move towards the norm while the plus team is due to regress and move BACK towards the norm.
playing the wors t minus teams was 3-0 ats ,,,playing VS the best + teams was 3-1 ats..one game had same teams.... SF a minus and ATL a plus so combined would have been 5-1
palying games with biggest differential ...i.e Pitt was +53 balt -9.5 so Balt was play.....these were 4-0
if we took all of these categories and combined, not duplicating any picks from a category the record was 8-1 ats
interesting........
this week the minus vs plus teams are........
Balt...TB...Car...Oak...SF...MINN
biggest diff (top 3)...Minn Oak SF
worst teams (minus category)...Arz...JAX...BUFF....the last 2 play each other
best teams (plus category) play AGAINST Jets...KC...STL