Yesterday was a bad one, as I went 1-4 on the day. Guess it was bound to happen. Still, Im 45-23 in my last 68. I look to get it back today. BOL Everyone. More To Come
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Minnesota +5 over MIAMI: It seems as if Miami put everything they had into the game at Denver, in which they lost by a 39-36 score. The team has not looked right since then as they followed up that game by needing a second half comeback to beat the Jets 16-13 and then followed that up with a 15 point home loss to Baltimore and a 28 point loss at New England last week. This is not a team that is playing very good right now. On the other side we do have a team that is playing well and looking to build confidence for next year. The Vikes are 4-3 in their last 7 games and their 3 losses were by 8 points to Chicago, 3 points to Green Bay and 2 points to the Lions. Minnesota is 10-1 ATS in their last 12 games in December, while Miami is 1-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 30+ points. I will call for the outright upset here from what I feel is a more motivated Minnesota squad.
Detroit/ Chicago Under 44: Just can't see a ton of points being scored in this one. The Bears offense has been stagnant for much of the year and I don't see them breaking out in this one vs one of the best defenses in the league, especially with Claussen at QB. Cutler was not the answer for this team and Jimmy won't be either. The Bears defense has not been very good this year, but they don't have to be in this one vs a lions squad that has averaged just 12.8 ppg on the road and just 11.7 ppg on grass fields. I look for the Bears to run allot with Forte, which Detroit's will continue to play a conservative brand of ball, knowing that they have that excellent defense to fall back on. This one may not hit the 30s at all.
6 Point Teaser: Seattle -2.5 & Detroit -3
Seattle/ Arizona Under 36.5 (Added)
BEST OF THE REST
New England -10 over NEW YORK JETS: New England got a scare from New York in the earlier meeting and they still have a tone to play for in their quest for homefield advantage, so I expect them to be fully focused for this one. They cannot afford to look past the Jets here. This one seems rather simple. The Jets weakness on defense is their pass defense and that means that Brady should have a big day throwing vs them, even without Edelman playing. The Pats have averaged 31.6 ppg on the year, while the Jets have put up just 16.4 ppg on the year. The Pats have 8 wins of 15 points or more this year and in their 11 wins they have outscored teams by an average of 18.8 ppg. I just can't see the Jets hanging with New England in this one and I also don't see Brady and company letting up on the gas, even if they are already up big. Pats by at least 17 here.
Baltimore/ Houston Over 42: Both teams have not allowed a whole lot of points this year, but something tells me they will in this game. The Ravens have averaged 27.6 ppg on the road this year, while the Texans have scored a very solid 24.5 ppg at home. The Houston defense gives up plenty of yards overall and while they have allowed just 19.8 ppg overall, they have given up 21.7 ppg at home. The Ravens have allowed just 19.1 ppg overall, but they given up 24.5 pg on the road. 28-21 sounds about right for this one.
Green Bay/ Tampa Bay Over 48.5: The Packers offense struggled last week in Buffalo, but they will not be facing a tough defense in this one, plus this game will be played in much warmer weather. The Packers have averaged 31.1 ppg on the year, while Tampa Bay has allowed 26.2 ppg. I can see at least 35 from the Packers here. On defense the Pack has allowed 23.2 ppg, including 26 ppg on the road and I see a weak Tampa offense getting their fair share of points in this one. The Bucs have scored 17 or more in 6b of their last 9 games and I feel they can at least get 17 in this one. 35-17 sounds like a good score.
10 Point Teaser: Green Bay -1.5 & Patriots PK & Seattle/ Arizona Under 46.5
Saints/ Falcons Over 56
10 Point Teaser: St Louis/ Giants Under 53.5 & Colts +13 & Carolina/ Cleveland Under 50
Indianapolis/ Dallas Over 52.5 (Added)
Giants/ St Louis Under 43.5 (Added)
NFL 2014
Top Plays Overall 51-52-2 (-15.4 Units)... 4 Unit 2-2-0 (-0.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 29-26-2 (+1.9 Units)... Power Angle Plays 1-2-0 (-3.6 Units)... Top Play Teasers 15-19-0 (-25.9 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 70-67-1 (-7.4 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 32-29-1 (+0.8 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 18-14-0 (+4.2 Units)