456 CLEV -6.5 likely to move to -7 vs. Tbay.
YES, Browns got a 'phony' big win vs. Oak, AND they have not been able to run the ball since their Center went out, but Tbay is rated so low, that power ratings make Clev 5 points better on a neutral. Wind chill will be 32 close to the Lake, THAT will not help the Bucs here.
453 Jax 11 likely to move down.
Cincy Undefeated last year at home, but bad schedule spot here for them in a double sandwich game (@ Ind, Balt, Jax, Clev, @N Orl). Jax's stats amazingly are not that bad, 4.9 ypplay for, 5.6 against.
461 Jets 9.5 likely to move down.
KC 5.3 ypplay for and against, does not have the profile of a team to lay double digits vs. a Jet team that would be fine if they could just get ANY QB play, Jets gain 4.7 ypplay on ground, give up only 3.3!
468 Pats +3 +100 likely to move to +3-120.
Wise Guys will fade the Denver Juggernaut here, the Pats are ALWAYS a solid investment as a home dog, AND the 28 degree wind chill and some wind is a HUGE edge here vs. Manning who has always struggled in the elements.
468 Den/Pats UNDER 54, total should drop.
This total likely should be 56 in good weather, but look for Denver to go with many more runs in this matchup, AND for Manning to miss a TD pass in the conditions....even in the new NFL totals in the mid 50s are sky high, and it is the very rare game that it can be justified in suspect weather.