Here is a sample write-up from our DOUBLE-DIME play on the Packers over the Vikings last Thursday. You can see that we put a lot of research into each play. We don't handicap by "feeling" or "sense of smell," we use serious, scientific research and actual data. After winning on Thursday, have a head start to our fourth straight winning week in the NFL. If you are ready to put the power of PhD scientists in your corner, we welcome you aboard for the ride.
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GREEN BAY -7.5 over MINNESOTA – The Vikings are to be commended for their strong play at home against the Falcons last week. Bridgewater played very well. However, the Falcons were in a very flat spot last week and this made the Viking look a lot better than they are. Minnesota’s rushers ran all over the Falcons and this puts them in a play-against spot. The league is 0-19 ATS on the road after a win by more than ten points as a home dog in which they rushed for more than 200-plus yards and scored fewer than 45 points.
Teams in this spot have failed to cover by an average of 11.45 ppg and have scored an average of only 12.7 ppg. The SDQL text is:
p:HD and A and NB and p:margin>10 and p:RY>=200 and date>=19921201 and p:points<45
As a team, Minnesota is 0-16 ATS on the road on grass the week after a home win, as long as they are not laying more than eight points. The SDQL text is:
team=Vikings and A and surface=grass and p:HW and NB and line>=-8 and season >= 2003
Minnesota is also 0-6 ATS (-13.42 ppg) after a win in they had a 40-plus pass play, 0-6 ATS (-9.42 ppg) the week after a win at home in which they allowed more points than expected and 0-6 ATS (-11.50 ppg) as a road 7+ dog when facing a team that has scored less than 1/6 of their total points from field goals.
The Packers beat the Bears handily last week, but they can’t relax, as they are well behind the 3-1 Lions. Green Bay is a nice 8-0 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs a divisional opponent with a non-divisional opponent next.
Green Bay’s potent offensive attack was held in check over the first three weeks of the season by three of the top defenses in the league – the Seahawks, Jets and Lions. However, the Packers got their offense going last week, scoring 38 points on the road in Chicago. This has been a positive indicator, as the Packers are 12-0 ATS as a favorite the week after scoring 34-plus points on the road, as long as they were not a TD-plus favorite in that game. Green Bay has won these 12 games by an average of 22-plus ppg and covered by 15-plus ppg, as you can see by running this SDQL text.
team=Packers and F and p:points >= 34 and p:A and p:line>=-7 and season >= 2001
Finally, this is a homecoming for Green Bay, as they played in Detroit and Chicago in each of the past two weeks. The Packers are 13-0-1 ATS since the start of the 2007 season at home when their last two games were on the road, as long as they aren’t being asked to cover more than two touchdowns.
These two are tied in the standings and a second divisional loss would cripple the Packers chances at the divisional title. They should extract a convincing win.
MTi’s FORECAST: GREEN BAY 30 Minnesota 13
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Respectfully submitted,
Dr M.