49ers -6 vs. Kansas City
The line before Monday night was 7.5 at C.G Technology and you would have had to lay -130 for -7. The Chiefs also ranked 30th in Yards per Play differential before Monday Night. They played a great game and showed their potential but that was a huge game for K.C as Alex Smith said before the game, and the Patriots are struggling badly. Now they travel on the road in a short week to play an out of conference game at San Francisco. After this week is their bye week. In the new CBA agreement players get at least 4 straight off days during the bye, maybe causing some players to be looking ahead. Tough spot for K.C and a good one for the 49ers who are at home for the second straight week.
After the M.N.F blowout the 49ers aren't going to look past K.C. San Fran also knows Alex Smith very well and I assume have a pretty good idea of how to defend him. My main concern is Colin Kaepernick. S.F dominated Philly and if not for Kaepernick taking a huge sack leading to the blocked punt and throwing an awful pick-6, they win by double digits. As long as K.C doesn't have a lopsided turnover edge I think its a good spot for S.F to win by double digits.
Rams +7 @ Philly
Good spot for the Rams off a bye week and getting 7 at the Eagles. Jeff Fisher has always done well as an Underdog in his career. Don't have the numbers but I think he has covered around 60% as a Dog. The market has a much higher opinion of the Cowboys after the last few weeks, and the Rams really should have beaten them in week 3. On the other hand Philly is very lucky to be 3-1 so far. They could easily be 1-3 and they got dominated by San Francisco and scored zero offensive touchdowns. Nick Foles does not look like an elite Q.B right now without Desean Jackson, and their offensive line is very banged up which could be a problem against the Rams strong defensive line. Too many points for this team to be laying right now.