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Fezzik's Focus: PreSeason Scoring,WNBA snoring (Sun Aug 17, 2015)

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Thread Starter Fezzik's Focus: PreSeason Scoring,WNBA snoring (Sun Aug 17, 2015)
Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
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NFL:

PreSeason Week 2 Summary (Hall of Fame Game is Week0)

After a Stellar Week1, Home Teams regressed going 8-5 Straight up, but only 5-8 ATS.

We were reminded again that laying -2.5 in the preseason is a dangerous thing, as the 3rd most common outcome in the preseason is "1".   Teams liberally go for 2 to avoid OT.    This Past week Oak, Chic, and Minny all won the game at home, but only by 1,1, and 2 points.   

The flags have been FLYING making many NFL games virtually unwatchable due to the new point of emphasis.  We have expected this to increase scoring, and it certainly happened this week, after an 'under' whelming week1 in preseason.

WEEK2 SUMMARY:

OVERs go 8-5, but MORE SIGNIFICANTLY:

Average Total Dealt:  41.0

Average Points scored:  49.

FURTHER, money came in on virtually EVERY over, as the oddsmakers opened the average total this week at just below 40 on average.  The bettors had the right idea, that scoring was going to be on the rise.

SUNDAY/MONDAY BIG GAME SUMMARY:

Denver/SF.  Many felt this was going to be the SB matchup last year.

Opens SF -3, 40, Currently -4.5, 41.5

Harbaugh's hate to lose in preseason, off a 3-23 butt kicking loss to Baltimore the bettors feel that even banged up with some injuries, SF will want to win this game, and get some points after not reaching the end zone last week. John Fox of Denver has always been a 50/50 guy in preseason, and they got their SB revenge win vs. Sea LAST week.

Clev/WASH:

Opens Wash -2.5, 40.5, Currently, -41.5

Cleveland is in a good preseason spot here, off a loss (by 1 to Det) while Wash is in a 'fat drunk and happy' spot having crushed NE 23-6.  I expect sharp money to show on Johnny Football and Co. here.

COWBOYS have officially been eliminated from the Playoffs:

The Cowboys opened at an expected 8 season wins, and the entire sharp world is betting under.

The current odds have them at UNDER 8 -230 (over 8 + 190).  

Baltimore opened up a 34-10 lead yesterday, before garbage time led to a misleading close final score of 37-30.  Expect even MORE money to pour in against this team.....in particular bettors have been skittish about the 49ers betting THEIR season win total down to UNDER 10.5-130, but they have been BOMBING in bets ON them for their Sept 7 game @DAllas,

Opened SF -3, now -5, total UP from 48 to 50.   Bettors feel there is no way the Dallas D can stop anyone, and certainly not the 49ers.

WNBA:

Phx and Minny are heading for a showdown in the WNBA playoffs, the winner should POUND Atlanta in the finals.  However, the Chicago Sky are a sleeper, as the team is at full strength finally.

Today:  Three playoff teams locked into their spots, play teams that are eliminated. Two games stand out for great spots for the home teams in my opinion:

604 NY (opens +2, now -3). hosting Indy.  Indy played and locked up the No2 East seed beating Chic in a tough game yesterday, they likely rest starters today.  Indy DESTROYED ny twice in games this past week knocking the Liberty out of the playoffs.  NY won't care about getting more ping pong balls for the draft, they traded away their pick to Conn to get Tina Charles.

608 Sea (opened +5, now +3.5).   Phx still chasing the WNBA best record in history, but playing a back to back @ Sea (a team they destroyed 4 times this year!), have to expect they likely rest/ or severly limit minutes to Taurasi, Taylor, Griner,etc.      Sea coach Agler benched his starters last game, I expect a spirited effort here in their last home game in front of loyal fans.  The Mascot Doppler will be dancing them to a win.

 Also, note SA @ Chicago, both playoff teams are trying to win to move up to the No3 seeds.   We might want to look UNDER 154.5 here......

CASEYWARD420
Joined: 01/31/2008
Posts: 22757
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I bet you the Redskins win by double digits on Monday!

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB1713056.67270.00
NBA3936252.00-45.00
NFL9791351.60-641.00
NHL1917052.78-110.00
Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 3209
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WNBA free plays:

608 Sea +3.5,

604 NY -3

606 SA/Chic UNDER 154

CASEYWARD420
Joined: 01/31/2008
Posts: 22757
All Pro
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Seattle wins outright mercury will rest players

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB1713056.67270.00
NBA3936252.00-45.00
NFL9791351.60-641.00
NHL1917052.78-110.00
Madman Producer
Joined: 09/03/2011
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CASEYWARD420

I bet you the Redskins win by double digits on Monday!

I bet you he doesn't bet you

2014-2015 Spurs Posted Games Record 7-3

Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 3209
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Top 200 Contributor

Casey, I bet you Clev wins by Double Digits Monday....

Lol

CASEYWARD420
Joined: 01/31/2008
Posts: 22757
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

Madman Producer

CASEYWARD420

I bet you the Redskins win by double digits on Monday!

I bet you he doesn't bet you

not for money just bragging rights and a possible avatar change for alittle while

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB1713056.67270.00
NBA3936252.00-45.00
NFL9791351.60-641.00
NHL1917052.78-110.00
CASEYWARD420
Joined: 01/31/2008
Posts: 22757
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

Fezzik

Casey, I bet you Clev wins by Double Digits Monday....

Lol

ok so you want a avatar bet? Winner pick the others avatar for a week? the Redskins are minus 2 now

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB1713056.67270.00
NBA3936252.00-45.00
NFL9791351.60-641.00
NHL1917052.78-110.00
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