Forums

Forums
Where sports bettors talk!

Fezzik's Focus: Do we bet Jax OVER 5 wins? (Friday 8/15/14)

NFL
Thread Starter Fezzik's Focus: Do we bet Jax OVER 5 wins? (Friday 8/15/14)
Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 2918
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY

BIG Friday Package is UP!  Two Star NFL total tonight, two bonus plays, 1 star NFL side, 1 star CFL Total.  Off a 5-1 night last night, we are +71 units YTD.

The Jags may have lost the game last night to the Bears, but they pretty much kicked their butts for 55 minutes. 

It appears clear that the 0-8 Jags from last year (where they WERE the WORST Nfl team we have ever seen!) is a distant memory.  Remember, that team was catching a record +28 points @ Denver last year.

They finished 4-4 once they got Henne in there starting, and more and more it appears the horrific play in September could  be blamed on Blaine Gabbert, who was playing with a broken thumb he got in preseason, and later with a lacerated hand with 15 stitches week1.  Gabbert is now with the 49ers playing Clipboard.

On the other hand, the Jags WERE the worst team we ever saw for 1/2 the year.......do we factor in how bad they were last year?  Or do we run with more recent form?

stevecaswell
Joined: 09/27/2011
Posts: 5657
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor

D line looks solid.  DBs look suspect

Still no WR as they are injured right now

for my premium picks go to sportsbetcappers.com

Follow me on Twitter Stevecaswell@stevecashwell1

Avatar challenge with sleepyj  2-0

Detroit tigers game plays 22 - 11

Triples 6-2

All from 2014 season

GOY 7-2 all time

kingsman
Joined: 01/02/2014
Posts: 508
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Still look like a mixed bag,could swing either way,wouldnt really like to pull the trigger on this

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB2517159.52620.00
MLB10375057.87477.00
NBA1927041.30-1087.00
NFL2625050.98-162.00
NHL3622462.07494.00
tomkins
Joined: 04/02/2011
Posts: 724
All American
Not Ranked

Even if Henne was to go down you could expect a chance to win with Bortles.

"Don't spend your bankroll on the rent"

Scottydog
Joined: 11/12/2011
Posts: 5807
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor

Looking at their schedule, they may win some ATS, but SU they're going to need a lot of help from the opposition. to win even 4 games. Cleveland at 6.5 (-140) projected wins is the worse team they're going to play with most everyone else at 7.5 or better. If the QB falters at all or gets hurt this could get real ugly real quick.

Scottydog's current NFL ,CFB ,CBB season record
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB52071.43285.00
NFL1510060.00410.00
sleepyj
Joined: 11/01/2012
Posts: 15658
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

I like the fact they only get 1 playoff team from last year at home out of the 8 games. The road they can squeeze 2 or 3 at most...the hard part is the late weeks they get no easy pushover playoff team resting guys..Id lean a push here.

CFB **4TD** " Blowout Special" 3-2 Run !!      ------    ***17-5***  NHL Playoff Record 2013***

***7-2*** (78%) All-Time GOY - Allsports @ Pregame ----------   (Dirty - Dog) 3-0 -100%

MLB "RARE" Plays (20-12) 62.5%     -------   *** NBA Playoffs 2014  (20-6)  77%

2014 B.O.T.H  Champion  (127-81)  61%  

Follow Me On Twitter : @SleepyJ_Pregame

Click Here - Today's Premium Play          -----   NBA 3*** "Team Total GOY"  Up !

  

 

Tony George
Joined: 08/22/2006
Posts: 8536
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

I do not base any Futures bets off the 2nd week performance of the Pre Season.....

That said, Week 3 is the dress rehearsal for at least 2 if not 3 quarters with the starting units getting the lions share of the snaps, and if Jax looks like they have it together, it might very well be worth a look at OVER 5 wins.   Chicago played like shit last night...that had a lot to do with it..Jax if I am not mistaken did nort score in the second half....not knocking Fezzik's angle here and thought process...my opinion is I want to see more of the 1st stringers against other first stringers next week and re-assess the win totals.  

Regards,

Tony George -  Pregame Pro Handicapper since 2007 - Radio Host on Yahoo Sports Radio  

*22 years Veteran Handicapper


*Big 12 - Mo Valley Expert

*#1 March Madness Capper by Sports Watch in 2014 - Over 71% ATS

* #4 Ranked NBA Playoff Capper by Sports Watch in 2014 - 64% ATS 

Motto:  "I hate to lose, more than I Love to Win"

Yahoo Sports Radio - Host of the  Locker Room Picks Show every Saturday and Sunday 11am-12 EST - New Time slot starting August 30th, I do all Gameday Lead in Coverage with a panel of cappers and celebrity guests, many Pregame Pros appear on the show..  Tune in live online or on one of their 400+ affiliates! 

Twitter @tgeorgesports

fortunaught
Joined: 04/05/2013
Posts: 514
All American
Not Ranked

Coming into this season, I was fairly bullish on, or at least intrigued by, all three NFL teams emanating from America's wang,  The Jags topping that list.  But I could definitely see all three of these teams benefiting from playing in, somebody has to win it divisions, and I think a case could be made for all of these teams to pull an over season win total ticket out of their hats somehow this year.  I agree that of these, the Jags present just about the only season win total trigger I would consider tugging.  But I could also see the Bucs pulling it off as well, more so had they opted for something other than McCown to be at the helm.  I'm not so sure Glennon doesn't get back on the field at some point, and I'm not sure he couldn't lead them to an 8 win season.  The Dolphins stock seems to be eroding somewhat, but to say that they are a lost cause is to somewhat suggest that the Bills and Jets have their houses in order and I'm not willing to do that either.  

Bryan Leonard
Joined: 09/02/2011
Posts: 2120
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

FWIW Jacksonville has outscored the opposition 20-0 in the first quarter of the first two games combined. 23-10 in the first half.

The Only Two Time Finalist in The $90,000 Cantor Football Showdown

Winner of the 2013 Gaming Today Brawl For It All Football Contest

Money management, line shopping and reading the betting markets are just as important as picking the right side.

Follow me on Twitter @BLeonardSports for interesting articles and late minute bets

dd313131
Joined: 01/30/2013
Posts: 3179
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

No, both qb's suck, stay away from that

Henne and Bortles. The BEARS qbs also suck , Claussen and Palmer are Complete garbage

Rate This
  • 10 replies
  • 0 subscribers
  • Posted2 months ago