I'm under the impression that Ohio State will need to throw the ball and throw often to beat Michigan on Saturday.
I've found a prop bet at BoDog stating the following:
Troy Smith OVER 16 PASS COMPLETIONS (-130)
Smith was a running quarterback against Michigan in 2004 and completed 27 passes in 2005 against them. This is a Heisman showcase game and Michigan holds opponents to 30 rushing yards per game.
What do you guys think? I'm thinking this is money in the bank!
Jeff Bonds:? Pregame Pros Selections Sports Media Experience with Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, ESPN, Florida Marlins, Fox Sports and St. Louis Cardinals
What a great find there jeff. I rarely check the props at bodog and you ar definetly on to something there. Troy 20 for 34 and 265 yards and 2 tds sounds right.
Mich run dee is tough and I see a possible steal here. I'll read up more before I invest though.
I don't think the Buckeyes would want to stop scoring on their rival, if that was the case on Saturday!
I hate to be the voice of caution on this play, but there are reasons why that total may be "low".
Here's my take, based on what I'm hearing from several trusted sources:
Michigan has a vert stout run defense. BUT
Ohio St. may try to employ a mis-diretion offense. To make it simple: They will probably attempt to stretch out the Wolverine defense by using Ginn in reverse scenarios, extending the toss to pittman, and allowing the Ohio St. QB to improvise, perhaps even scripting more QB centered running plays.
16 is a small number but look at what Troy did against the similar Longhorn defense:
17 completions gets you the cover, but how stressful will that be? The Texas game was a blowout. If Michigan keeps this game close then you will get the cover with ease, but what if Ohio St. takes a 10 point lead early?
I think if you take the prop then you must be in favor of Michigan keeping this game close.
Personally: I picked Michigan to be a sleeper team for a national championship, but I'm seeing a stretched field and a confused Michigan front line.
JMHO
This PROP BET at BoDog is my "Biggest Play" in Saturday's "Biggest Game"
Thus, it's my Pro Bettor Tryout Selection for today
Like it.
The only way we lose this is if they have a few short passes turn into 87 yars tds.