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Super Bowl **DIAMOND** WINNER....4-1

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Super Bowl **DIAMOND** WINNER....4-1
esams
Joined: 06/21/2006
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I hope you're right about the number Hizz.  I'm playing Seattle as well and would like to see that line back at 3

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kjcolby1978
Joined: 03/03/2009
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Seattle backers can get +3 at Bovada or +2.5 -105 at sportsbook.com

the -105 can be bought to 3 for -125

-Kyle

2014 NFL 4-1

2014 Red Sox Plays 45-41 +0.65u

2013 ALL SPORTS 128-81-4

2012 All Sports 30-25-1

GSJ2
Joined: 10/12/2012
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Hizz i think you got the money wrong. The public does not bet the Sunday night 2 weeks before the Super Bowl. Most offshore books didn't have numbers until late that evening, No local out would have put up a line. Denver got bashed as soon as it opens, moves on opening numbers are almost always sharps or syndicates or at the very least professional bettors. All the money flooding in late is almost always public money.

http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/14/t/869001.aspx

"GSJ2 Is literally NOT one of the reasons that RJ Bell started PreGame". GSJ2

Boxer_
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 975
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GSJ2

Hizz i think you got the money wrong. The public does not bet the Sunday night 2 weeks before the Super Bowl. Most offshore books didn't have numbers until late that evening, No local out would have put up a line. Denver got bashed as soon as it opens, moves on opening numbers are almost always sharps or syndicates or at the very least professional bettors. All the money flooding in late is almost always public money.

correct GSJ2. Public does not bet 2 weeks in advance. the lline opened at PK which I took that night. when I got back home to post to the forum it was already at -1.5. Line moving towards seahawks now because public is now betting their side.

  5* BIG Play = 3 UNITS   /   4* Strong Play = 2 UNITS   /   3* Solid Play =1 UNIT  

2014 MLB 1st HF 5 inning plays Only:   5*  1-0-1 = +3.00  /  4*  2-1-0 = +2.44  /  3*  13-11-3 = + 2.15 UNITS  

 

2013/14 NFL:  10* = 0-0  /  5* = 1-2  /  4* = 1-2  /  3* = 18-8-1  /  2* = 11-5  

2013/14 NFL Playoffs:  10* = 0-1  /  5* = 0-1  /  4* = 3-2  /  3* = 11-2-1  /  2* = 0-0 

2013/14  CFB:  10* = 0-0  /  5* = 2-1  /  4* = 1-1  /  3* = 13-14  /  2* = 0-1  

2013/14  CFB BOWLS:  10* = 1-1  /  5* = 0-2  /  4* = 4-1  /  3* = 6-16  /  2* = 0-0 

colgate
Joined: 12/14/2007
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I am on the public side. Going with the team that can score on any defense.

rad1411
Joined: 01/14/2014
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BOL Hizz!

HIZZ_HONOR
Joined: 06/21/2006
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GSJ2

Hizz i think you got the money wrong. The public does not bet the Sunday night 2 weeks before the Super Bowl. Most offshore books didn't have numbers until late that evening, No local out would have put up a line. Denver got bashed as soon as it opens, moves on opening numbers are almost always sharps or syndicates or at the very least professional bettors. All the money flooding in late is almost always public money.

Actually the line opened in Vegas at Seattle -3 and it was the public that pushed it to Denver as a fav.Big Smile

 

 **DIAMOND** Plays 50-36

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HIZZ_HONOR
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HIZZ_HONOR

GSJ2

Hizz i think you got the money wrong. The public does not bet the Sunday night 2 weeks before the Super Bowl. Most offshore books didn't have numbers until late that evening, No local out would have put up a line. Denver got bashed as soon as it opens, moves on opening numbers are almost always sharps or syndicates or at the very least professional bettors. All the money flooding in late is almost always public money.

Actually the line opened in Vegas at Seattle -3 and it was the public that pushed it to Denver as a fav.Big Smile

I stand corrected...the line opened at Seattle -2

 

 **DIAMOND** Plays 50-36

1st Place 2004 NFL Las Vegas Hilton Contest
Team of The Boys-Hizz Honor-Goodfellas-POLO & TrapperJohn
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

Madman Producer
Joined: 09/03/2011
Posts: 13354
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Hizz......I truly enjoy reading your plays, I just have one question because I can't seem to wrap my answer around from anyone playing Seattle +3. Only one Super Bowl has been decided by less than 3 pts when the Giants beat the bills 20-19, the rest of the superbowls have obviously been won by 3 or much greater.

So my question is, why is playing +3 such a big deal, are Seattle backers playing for the push? I don't understand why Seattle backers would not just play for the kill at moneyline +120 or whatever. What are the odds the game ends by the favorite team winning by 2 points ? I mean if Denver wins, it's not gonna be by less than 3, and if they don't obviously +3 Seattle backers win. But the odds of the game ending at exactly 3 are much greater, so my question is why would someone want to play for a push at + 3 for -110 and pay juice when you can get +moneyline with no juice, a 3 unit bettor with save $30 on the juice if it loss and if it pushes, yes they don't lose, but bettors don't play for pushes they play for wins.

Either I'm just not seeing the logic behind the +3, or Seattle backers playing for the push? If they have high value on +3, they should be betting Seattle moneyline to just win it

Thoughts, thanks

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GSJ2
Joined: 10/12/2012
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It opened Sunday night at -2 and was immediately bet to Denver -1.5

Thats not public money betting a game 2 weeks early after they just watched 2 games. Public money starts about Wednesday-Thursday the day before the game. That was syndicate/sharp money buying Denver early.  It could be a setup to get their number on a buy back but its definitely was public money. Public money is flying in now so we will see where the line goes.

http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/14/t/869001.aspx

"GSJ2 Is literally NOT one of the reasons that RJ Bell started PreGame". GSJ2

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