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EXCLUSIVE: Sportsbook Survey for Super Bowl XLVII

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Thread Starter EXCLUSIVE: Sportsbook Survey for Super Bowl XLVII
RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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Sportsbook Survey

Many people have sports betting opinions – but the guys behind the counter, taking millions in bets, are the guys I listen closest to. This week I talked to some of the biggest names in Vegas about Super Bowl XLVII.

Jay Rood – Director at MGM

(RJ talked with Jay on Monday)

Expected Nevada handle (amount bet) for game: 88 to 91 million

Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: “less than 1%”

How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: UP 8%

How has your NFL hold percentage (% of handle won by house) been this season? Worst ever (been booking since 1993)

What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5

Other insights:
Last time Ravens in Super Bowl, the game’s handle was below average.

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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Johnny Avello – Director at WYNN

(RJ talked with Johnny on Monday)

Expected Nevada handle for game: Over 90 million

Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: 1%

How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: UP 15%

How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Worst ever (been booking since 1987)

What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5

Other insights:
Relative good season for the players gives them more "bullets in the gun" for this game.
Ravens have made lots of money for bettors last two weeks - should increase support.
The Harbaugh storyline, plus Ray Lewis, should increase interest in the game.

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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Jay Kornegay – Director at LVH

(RJ talked with Jay on Monday)

Expected Nevada handle for game: 91-92 million

Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: .7% (i.e., point 7 percent)

How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: FLAT

How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Worst ever

What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5

Other insights: Ravens and 49ers are EVEN teams - if you can get points, you are getting value.

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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Jimmy Vaccaro – William Hill

RJ taked with Jimmy on Tuesday

Expected Nevada handle for game: 94.5 million

Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: 1%

How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: Up 5-8%

How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Below average

What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -4

Other insights:
Interest in Kaepernick prop is massive.
Double the handle on future and win-total bets this season.
First time SF in the big game for a long time = increased interest.
Expects majority of money in net to be on 49ers


RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

coomod
Joined: 02/19/2012
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Sorry RJ, I'm not following the question you are asking them about "NFL hold percentage". What is hold percentage?

JerseyGuy
Joined: 02/15/2009
Posts: 1493
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coomod

Sorry RJ, I'm not following the question you are asking them about "NFL hold percentage". What is hold percentage?

 
This?

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

2014 NFL = 13-16 (-9.70*)

2013 NFL = 36-23-2 (+23.90*)

2012 NFL = 25-15-2 (+16.30*)

 

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
Rank NA
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"Hold percentage" is percentage won (held by house) compared to percentage bet.

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

coomod
Joined: 02/19/2012
Posts: 526
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Oh good so "we" cracked the books pretty hard this year. That actually makes me feel kinda proud. It makes sense since the public has been getting smarter

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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Dave Mason - BetOnline

(Johnny Detriot emailed with Dave on Tuesday)

Expected Nevada handle (amount bet) for game: We already have the O/U up at $90.5 million (-115).

Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: “less than 1%”

How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: Up about 30%

How has your NFL hold percentage (% of handle won by house) been this season? Down a tad; was definitely a grind

What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5

Other insights:
The early spread and O/U action is pretty split. 84% of the money-line action is on the Ravens though.

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 15473
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big gameday bump

RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Friday: Colin Cowherd's NFL Picks + My Wiseguy Analysis

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