Sportsbook SurveyMany people have sports betting opinions – but the guys behind the counter, taking millions in bets, are the guys I listen closest to. This week I talked to some of the biggest names in Vegas about Super Bowl XLVII.Jay Rood – Director at MGM(RJ talked with Jay on Monday)
Expected Nevada handle (amount bet) for game: 88 to 91 millionPercentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: “less than 1%”How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: UP 8%
How has your NFL hold percentage (% of handle won by house) been this season? Worst ever (been booking since 1993) What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5Other insights:Last time Ravens in Super Bowl, the game’s handle was below average.
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Johnny Avello – Director at WYNN(RJ talked with Johnny on Monday)
Expected Nevada handle for game: Over 90 millionPercentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: 1%How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: UP 15%
How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Worst ever (been booking since 1987) What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5Other insights:Relative good season for the players gives them more "bullets in the gun" for this game.Ravens have made lots of money for bettors last two weeks - should increase support.The Harbaugh storyline, plus Ray Lewis, should increase interest in the game.
Jay Kornegay – Director at LVH(RJ talked with Jay on Monday)
Expected Nevada handle for game: 91-92 millionPercentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: .7% (i.e., point 7 percent)How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: FLAT
How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Worst everWhat do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5Other insights: Ravens and 49ers are EVEN teams - if you can get points, you are getting value.
Jimmy Vaccaro – William HillRJ taked with Jimmy on Tuesday
Expected Nevada handle for game: 94.5 millionPercentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: 1%How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: Up 5-8%
How has your NFL hold percentage been this season? Below averageWhat do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -4Other insights:Interest in Kaepernick prop is massive.Double the handle on future and win-total bets this season.First time SF in the big game for a long time = increased interest.Expects majority of money in net to be on 49ers
Sorry RJ, I'm not following the question you are asking them about "NFL hold percentage". What is hold percentage?
coomod Sorry RJ, I'm not following the question you are asking them about "NFL hold percentage". What is hold percentage?
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2013 PGA = (4 Tourney Winners) (-45.77*)
2012 NFL = 25-15-2 (+16.30*)
2012 CFB Bowls = 7-7-1 (-2.20*)
2012 CFB = 0-2 (-4.80*)
"Hold percentage" is percentage won (held by house) compared to percentage bet.
Oh good so "we" cracked the books pretty hard this year. That actually makes me feel kinda proud. It makes sense since the public has been getting smarter
Dave Mason - BetOnline(Johnny Detriot emailed with Dave on Tuesday)
Expected Nevada handle (amount bet) for game: We already have the O/U up at $90.5 million (-115).Percentage of overall worldwide handle Nevada will account for: “less than 1%”How was your NFL handle (amount of action) this season compared to last season: Up about 30%
How has your NFL hold percentage (% of handle won by house) been this season? Down a tad; was definitely a grind What do you project to be the CLOSING LINE for Super Bowl XLVII: San Fran -3.5Other insights:The early spread and O/U action is pretty split. 84% of the money-line action is on the Ravens though.
big gameday bump