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Quality vs Quantity? - Are You Going Broke?

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Quality vs Quantity? - Are You Going Broke?
Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 33909
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Top 10 Contributor

Up until a week or so ago I had NEVER allowed anything that I read in here to change my stance completely. I have gotten off of games or reduced/increased plays, but had never flipped. I did this about a week ago and of course, the play lost.

In a nutshell, if you have done your due diligence NOTHING you read in here should change your mind completely. It may cause you to reduce or increase your play or perhaps get off it entirely, but never flip completely if you have done the work. It was a difficult loss to take, although entirely my own fault.

It will not happen again.....LOL

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB9888452.69453.00
GoodFella
Joined: 08/10/2007
Posts: 29212
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Bruno Bets

Up until a week or so ago I had NEVER allowed anything that I read in here to change my stance completely. I have gotten off of games or reduced/increased plays, but had never flipped. I did this about a week ago and of course, the play lost.

In a nutshell, if you have done your due diligence NOTHING you read in here should change your mind completely. It may cause you to reduce or increase your play or perhaps get off it entirely, but never flip completely if you have done the work. It was a difficult loss to take, although entirely my own fault.

YUP, to that..............

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Scottydog
Joined: 11/12/2011
Posts: 5147
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Bruno - thanks for the post.

I agree completely, however, as you well know, if you frequent pregame often enough and especially the forum, it's hard not to read about or pick up on some tidbit of info that you hadn't considered. Obviously, in the end, the final decision is yours, but for some of pregame's community members, this is like a candy store for sports bettors with miles and miles of promises and if a shred of self-doubt enters the equation - oops, I'm a goner!

I appreciate your candor and look forward to your posts.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB2124046.6784.00
Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 33909
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Don't get me wrong, Scotty. I agree, there is a mind-boggling amount of great info to be gleaned here. I 'cap my games prior to reading threads and yes, the stuff that may have been over-looked is then factored in from some 'cappers I respect. I am just saying that you should never sway from one side to the other, as it is extremely difficult to swallow should it lose, which it invariably will....LOL

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB9888452.69453.00
JasonH11
Joined: 09/16/2012
Posts: 1154
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Bruno makes a great point. It's one thing to be swayed to change your bet size or maybe pass on the game, but if you liked the Giants last night, were swayed to pick the packers instead, then watched that beat down you would have thrown your remote at the tv, broke the tv, and then you'd be out a lot of money! In all seriousness great point Bruno.

shackfu99
Joined: 11/01/2011
Posts: 2706
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What if you have a lot of wagers at +Ev? By default the large quantity would be good quality. Wouldn't it?

Gangster dolphins
Marine biologists studying Australian dolphins discovered that the mammals form complex hierarchies within their pods in order to attack other groups. Some individuals serve as fighters. Others serve as liaisons to go out and recruit new members. These "intricate webs" are rare in the animal kingdom, says Virginia Morell at Wired, and strikingly reminiscent of "the Mafia."

I blame Snoop Dog.

Scottydog
Joined: 11/12/2011
Posts: 5147
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Yes, but the landscape, and I mean the world at large, is riddled with men who were on the right side of the equation and are now on the down side. It's unfortunate but true; +Ev is no guarantee. I guess that's why they have such big hotels in Vegas. I often wonder why anyone would want to open a sportsbook given that the outcome is never guaranteed. One bad week and they lose millions...tens of millions. But in the long run, even the best of the best sports gamblers go on losing streaks. How they respond is what separates the long term winners from the rest.

And by the way - I'm one of "the rest!" LOL

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB2124046.6784.00
Byeweekpicks
Joined: 10/10/2010
Posts: 500
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Bottom line, if you have been a proven winner over the years listen to WHY people like the other side, and legitimate you should take note.  But if I love a game there is a legit reason I do and won't sway...I don't care who is on the other side.  Like NYG yesterday.  I am very confident in my ability.

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2013 NFL Record: 42-37-1 (53%), +1.4 units

2012 NFL Record: 41-31-2 (57%), +8 units (1unit=6% bankroll)

2011 NFL Record: 34-25-2 (58%) , +3.4 units (1 unit=6% bankroll)

2010 NFL Record: 25-14-2 (64%) +11.9 units (1 unit=6% of bankroll)

2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%) +16.3 units (1 unit=6% of bankroll)

2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%) +16.8 Units (1 unit=6% of bankroll)

2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%) +14.7 Units

firemanxx
Joined: 08/28/2008
Posts: 2851
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QUALITY POST$$$$$$

 

2013/14NBAseason(45-28(+1040)

2014MLB SEASON6-11-1(-660)

(+45)


 

720

 

 

 

 

 

 

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updated**4/20/14

shackfu99
Joined: 11/01/2011
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Scottydog

Yes, but the landscape, and I mean the world at large, is riddled with men who were on the right side of the equation and are now on the down side. It's unfortunate but true; +Ev is no guarantee. I guess that's why they have such big hotels in Vegas. I often wonder why anyone would want to open a sportsbook given that the outcome is never guaranteed. One bad week and they lose millions...tens of millions. But in the long run, even the best of the best sports gamblers go on losing streaks. How they respond is what separates the long term winners from the rest.

And by the way - I'm one of "the rest!" LOL

I agree. +EV gaurantees nothing. but slowing your plays gaurantees nothing either. I do believe if you continue to bet +EV you will come out ahead in the end. As you stated everyone goes on a losing streak, no doubt there. But what separate's them is that they continue to fire on value (+EV). They don't change how they bet or volume. They fire on soft markets and off #'s. Good conversation.

Gangster dolphins
Marine biologists studying Australian dolphins discovered that the mammals form complex hierarchies within their pods in order to attack other groups. Some individuals serve as fighters. Others serve as liaisons to go out and recruit new members. These "intricate webs" are rare in the animal kingdom, says Virginia Morell at Wired, and strikingly reminiscent of "the Mafia."

I blame Snoop Dog.

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