Sorry I didn't see this earlier, but I believe the true line for this is around -155 so definitely not. There is always a huge hold on alternative lines. Very rarely will you find value with them unless they make a mistake.
You want a handicapping tip? Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more. I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice
"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"
Thanks, Lloyd
Get 'em, Pregamers!
Call your bookie and let 'em off for 50% cash payment. You're gonna win! Just kidding. I close at least 6 parlays a weekend. I work hard to get where you are and then split the sides with the closing wager. I am usually looking for a 3,4, or 6,7 combination where I can buy the whole point or more on the line in the parlay, then buy a half on the hedge and try to hit a middle (as I can buy points in the parlay which cost me nothing but only reduces the payout, calculated like a moneyline parlay). Where you stand is the hard option and I've been there. I would put no more than 50% of the possible winnings (including juice) at risk. or take a bigger gamble and wait for the half and hope you can be in a position to make a wager with a middle opportunity.
Congrats on cashing your winning parlay tonight bud.
I told you to bet the rest on Denver! Never in doubt!
I felt like shit at half for telling you not to hedge and that is why I don't typically give advice. I worry more about other people's money more than my own?
What was you final decision?
-2500 he hedged
yeah let us know what u did, good job
Guys,
Thanks for all of your help. I went with a conservative hedge, $350 on SD pk. What a wild game, unbelievable. I wasn't even mad at first because of the pure comedic factor as to how the Broncos were playing, and when Decker fell, it just wasn't meant to be. But Peyton came to play in the second half, and luckily, Phillip Rivers did his best Phillip Rivers impression.
Thanks again for all the help, this is why I love this community.
Nick
Glad to hear you didn't lay off too much. Have faith in your plays, my man!