Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.
HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.
BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.
POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.
To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.
NFL Vegas Rankings – Week 5
Hm Field
True Power
Bettor Bias
Spread Power
t1
Patriots
3
100
0
Texans
0.5
100.5
49ers
3.5
99.5
t4
Giants
1.5
97.5
Packers
Ravens
t7
Falcons
97
Steelers
9
Bears
96.5
10
Eagles
2.5
95.5
t11
Cowboys
95
Broncos
13
Chargers
94.5
t14
Bengals
2
93
Cardinals
Seahawks
4
17
Saints
92.5
t18
Bills
92
Panthers
Redskins
t21
Buccs
91
Jets
-0.5
90.5
Lions
24
Vikings
25
Dolphins
90
26
Rams
89.5
27
Raiders
89
t28
Chiefs
88.5
Titans
t30
Browns
87
Colts
32
Jags
86.5
Vegas Rankings voters include Steve Fezzik (the only two-time Hilton SuperContest Champion), Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).
RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com, and can be heard on Colin Cowherd every Friday during the football season at 12:45 ET. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas
---RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@TwitterCalled a "True Insider" by ESPNPick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
This is showing Pittsburgh should be -6 at home vs. Philly. Steelers currently -3.5 as of Monday night. Trap or value?
Well, power ratings Pitt full strenght, Harrison out
Very few individual players effect the line and none I believe effect it 2.5 points....most are QB's.
Dave Basinger
On Twitter @StatLabSports
These power rankings are Awesome!!!
Jaguars are in need of Blaine to throw the ball alot better, MJD is doing his job
NFL 12/13: 58-45
NFL Playoffs 12/13 : 8-9
NBA 12/13 : 232-193
NBA Playoffs 2013 : 14-13
NCAAB 12/13: 70-52
MLB 2013 : 46-30 : (+ 36.40 Units)
BOWL PICKS : 37-32 ( Finished 4th in the 1st Annual Twitter College Football Bowl Invitational )
Overall 465-373 (55.4 %)
@JonoYoungP4P - Twitter : All Leans/Picks/Plays posted here each and every day
Polmalu and Harrison combined are worth 2.5
also saying that arizona should win by .5 which is obviously impossible so say 1 point. That would make rams +1.5 a good play correct?
How nervous should I be if my Power Rankings have some big differences? For instance, I have the Vikings at 17 and here they are 24. Does anyone else have serious changes or do I just suck at this?
Excellent Power Rankings...I was unable to find any rankings that had Arizona outside the top 5 or 10. To me a Power Ranking should be a team's true power not their current record. While Arizona has been quality from late 2011 to 4-0 this season, I could not understand why they were in the top 5 of many rankings given their clear offensive issues. Last night proved they are closer to 14 than 5 and the boys had it right.
Thanks Steve, Chris, and VR for the input.
Thomas