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Thread Starter Smart people opinions needed
12nationalchampionships
Joined: 09/16/2007
Posts: 1143
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anyway...I have a four team parlay for 300 closing out with balt -2.5 and I'm looking for opinions on the hedge.

A. play 1k on nep +3

B. wait and hope to play nep at the half for 1k

C. do nothing and let the bitch ride....ooop this wouldn't qualify as hedging.

Thoughts on A or B?

dombrow3
Joined: 09/26/2011
Posts: 341
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Take a knee and wait for an easy win.  3-0-1 this sunday for me.  I have a unit on Ravens -3.  Hoping to cash and have a solid SUnday.

Bustin_Bookies
Joined: 01/20/2009
Posts: 2074
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GL with whatever decision you made!  I have them on a last leg, too.  Letting it ride!  

Hard work never killed anybody, but why take a chance?

Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
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Wrong forum....LMAO

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
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12nationalchampionships
Joined: 09/16/2007
Posts: 1143
Professional
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for smart people ? What are you trying to say?

Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
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I was joking of course, but yeah that was the joke......GL with whatever you've decided!

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB4847250.53246.00
NBA35037.50-249.00
NHL46240.00-242.00
Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979
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Letting it ride is almost always the best decision in the long run



[edited by: Lloyd Christmas at 5:41 PM (GMT -7) on Sun, Sep 23 2012] I

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

12nationalchampionships
Joined: 09/16/2007
Posts: 1143
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I laid off a little. Got $500 +3.5 and found a local with +4 for 500. so if it lands on 3 I win 4k If NEP wins I win 700 and ifbalt blows em out I win 1800

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979
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12nationalchampionships

I laid off a little. Got $500 +3.5 and found a local with +4 for 500. so if it lands on 3 I win 4k If NEP wins I win 700 and ifbalt blows em out I win 1800

This is exactly a situation where it would be good to hedge.  You found an off market number and were able to middle the 3.  +4 at -110 is certainly +EV

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

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