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Thread Starter Houston Texans 72.2% ATS since 2011
ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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Texans 2011 ATS: 10-5-1

Texans 2012 ATS: 3-0-0


Is this just a temporary trend and likely to regress to the mean or can the Texans keep this going?..

Love to hear some opinions on this guys!

Thanks,

Conor





Updated record after Week 3 result v Denver and changed thread title
m00coyne
Joined: 08/13/2012
Posts: 310
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I'm guessing it'll regress, but that's very interesting, didn't realize they were doing that well lately

CFB 2012

5 units (18-5) +62.5 units
4 units (28-17) +37.2 units
3 units (28-25) +1.5 units
2 units (21-15) +9.0 units
1 unit  (7-7) -0.7 units

Total record (102-69)(60%) +109.5 units!!

ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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m00coyne - I remember last year they went on a massive run where they covered 6 or 7 games in succession then they lost Schaub and they're next choice QB to injury so we're playing the third choiceand they didn't even do too badly with him

They have a great running game and i'm far from an expert nor do I pretend to be but with a top QB I would think they would be very near the top of the betting for the Superbowl..

m00coyne
Joined: 08/13/2012
Posts: 310
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I would put schaub as a borderline top 10, but their running game is so dominant that they can definitely run over teams, and if need be, run clock which should help the D alot.  That might be worth a shot depending on your confidence in Schaub

CFB 2012

5 units (18-5) +62.5 units
4 units (28-17) +37.2 units
3 units (28-25) +1.5 units
2 units (21-15) +9.0 units
1 unit  (7-7) -0.7 units

Total record (102-69)(60%) +109.5 units!!

mason62
Joined: 08/25/2011
Posts: 3629
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Houston will cover vs den... they will get better not step backwards.. they are for real Sir... good luck

ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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No that's what I mean, if they had a top I would bet them like shot for the SB... Their running game like you said is so good and it does help out the DEF alot

ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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Texans cover AGAIN

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979
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ConorB

Texans 2011 ATS: 10-5-1

Texans 2012 ATS: 3-0-0


Is this just a temporary trend and likely to regress to the mean or can the Texans keep this going?..

Love to hear some opinions on this guys!

Thanks,

Conor



Means little to nothing

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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Lloyd Christmas

Means little to nothing

Why Lloyd? Is it because of the amount of games? The sample size is small but not tiny - 19 games... and also many of those games were blowouts so this would suggest to me that the lines in these cases were flawed to begin with. 

ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
Posts: 2876
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Why does this stat mean nothing?

I see the line came out today Texans -12.0 against the Titans, this looks inflated to me (not sure 100%, I thought -10, I was gonna bet it at that number but 12 is too much) - Also if a team is CONSTANTLY covering the spread the linesmakers are going to adjust the spread on that team as people will blindly bet the team as long as they are covering - agree?

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