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Thread Starter NFL Rankings - Dedicated Thread - Week 3
RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Mon, Sep 17 2012 10:47 PM

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).

To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

NFL Vegas Rankings – Week 3 

1

49ers

3.5

100

1

101

t2

Packers

3.5

99.5

0.5

100

t2

Patriots

3.5

99.5

0.5

100

4

Texans

3

99

0

99

5

Steelers

3

98.5

0.5

99

6

Ravens

3

98

0

98

7

Falcons

3.5

97.5

0

97.5

8

Eagles

3

97

0

97

9

Cowboys

3

96.5

0.5

97

10

Giants

2.5

96

0

96

11

Broncos

3

95.5

0

95.5

t12

Bears

3

95

0

95

t12

Chargers

3

95

0

95

14

Saints

4

94.5

0

94.5

t15

Jets

3

94

0

94

t15

Lions

3

94

0

94

t17

Panthers

3

93.5

0

93.5

t17

Seahawks

3.5

93.5

0

93.5

t19

Bills

3.5

93

0

93

t19

Redskins

3

93

0.5

93.5

21

Bengals

3.5

92

0

92

t22

Buccs

2.5

91.5

0

91.5

t22

Cards

3

91.5

0

91.5

24

Rams

3

90

0

90

25

Raiders

3

89.5

0

89.5

t26

Chiefs

3

89

0

89

t26

Titans

3

89

0

89

t26

Vikings

3

89

0

89

29

Dolphins

2

88.5

0

88.5

30

Colts

3

88

0

88

31

Jags

2.5

87.5

0

87.5

32

Browns

2.5

87

-1

86

Vegas Rankings voters include Steve Fezzik (the only two-time Hilton SuperContest champion),  Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com, and can be heard on Colin Cowherd every Friday during the football season at 12:45 ET.  Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas

---

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RJ_Bell
RJ_Bell
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Posts: 14159
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Posted
on Mon, Sep 17 2012 10:49 PM

Raw Numbers from Chris Andrews:

Team Rating Home
Packers 97.5 3.5
Patriots 98 3
Texans 97 3
Steelers 95.5 3
Eagles 94 3
Ravens 95.5 3
49ers 98 3
Giants 95 1
Saints 93 4
Falcons 95 3.5
Bears 94 3
Cowboys 94.5 3
Broncos 94.5 3.5
Lions 93 3
Chargers 94 3
Bills 91.5 3.5
Jets 93 3
Bengals 91.5 3
Panthers 92.5 3
Seahawks 91.5 3.5
Titans 88 3
Chiefs 87.5 3
Bucs 90 3
Redskins 91 3
Cardinals 89.5 2
Dolphins 86.5 3
Rams 88.5 3
Colts 87.5 3
Vikings 87 3
Raiders 88 3
Jaguars 85 3
Browns 85.5 3

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
RJ_Bell
RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 14159
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Posted
on Mon, Sep 17 2012 10:55 PM

Raw numbers from Vegas Runner:

49ERS 3.5 100
PACKERS 3.5 100
PATRIOTS 3.5 99
TEXANS 3 98
EAGLES 3 97
STEELERS 3 97
FALCONS 3.5 96
RAVENS 3 96
COWBOYS 2.5 96
GIANTS 2.5 94
BRONCOS 3 94
BEARS 3 94
CHARGERS 2 93.5
SAINTS 4 93
LIONS 3 93
JETS 3 92.5
SEAHAWKS 3.5 92
PANTHERS 2.5 92
REDSKINS 2.5 92
BENGALS 2.5 90
CARDINALS 3 90
BILLS 3 90
CHIEFS 3 89
BUCCANEERS 2.5 89
RAMS 2.5 89
TITANS 2.5 88.5
RAIDERS 2.5 88
DOLPHINS 1.5 88
VIKINGS 2.5 87
COLTS 2 87
JAGUARS 2 86
BROWNS 2.5 86

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
laxplayer83
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Posts: 285
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Posted
on Mon, Sep 17 2012 11:41 PM

Does this mean that if week 3, 49ers were at home vs Browns they would be favoured by 18.5 points?
SzKoller1
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Posted
on Tue, Sep 18 2012 1:34 AM

Great stuff
doomaise
doomaise
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Posted
on Fri, Sep 28 2012 7:25 AM

Hi RJ,

Will you be posting the Week 4 Power Rankings?  Thanks.  Love the website, and love listening to your spot on The Herd.  
DirtySouth
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Posts: 15
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Posted
on Fri, Sep 28 2012 9:58 PM

RJ. I 've been a member since the Johnny Detroit days, and feel these power rankings have been the most helpful handicapping tool to date. Please consider posting for an old timer. Thanks.
ConorB
ConorB
Joined: 10/18/2011
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Posted
on Fri, Sep 28 2012 10:44 PM

Would be great to have Week 4 up I agree.. But obviously the guys at Pregame are under no obligation to do so...

I still wanna see them tho!! Cool
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