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Thread Starter CFL ‘Provincial Day’ Play of the Wk | BC Lions at Toronto
Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6219
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Harsh 0-2 last week to fall to 7-4 on season
Back after w/only play on 2-Game, Bye-Week Card

Monday, August 6, 2012 | 5:05 PM, EDT | TSN-TV
Rogers Centre | Toronto, Ontario

BC LIONS (3-2 | 2-3 ATS)
TORONTO ARGONAUTS (3-2 | 2-3 ATS)

Defending Grey Cup Champion, BC Lions
Seemingly back in the groove

BC looked a little wobbly thru Week 4
Lions BTB Losses vs. Division Rivals’ in Week 3 + 4
BC stunned 23-20 at then-unbeaten Saskatchewan
Even though Lions’ outgained Rough Riders by nearly +200 Yards, then
Week 4, BC’s 8 Game Home Win Streak was broken
As Lions again outgained opponent (Edmonton) by 116 Yards, yet lost 27-14

Nevertheless, BC righted the ship last week,
Lions thoroughly won at Calgary, 34-8
Moreover, BC returned to their efficient, balanced attack
w/NO Turnovers (to Calgary’s 2)
BC had an unspeakably dominating 39 to 21 T-O-P difference
Lions 25 Rushes (165 Yards) genuine definition of CFL Dominance

BC has outgained their Opponents in RUSHING & PASSING
All but 1 Game in each category (4 of 5 Games)

The key to BC’s success is not just “offencive” balance, but
BC’s #1 CFL “DEFENCE” (Overtaking Tor last week)

BC again (currently):

  • CFL’s BEST ‘Offence’
  • CFL’s BEST ‘Defence’ 
  • CFL’s LOWEST Turnover Rate
  • CFL’s LOWEST Penalty Rate

Toronto laid claim to Best Offense & Best Defense thru Week 3
Yet since this time, Tor Yd Difference has fallen precipitously:
WEEK 2 Tor +232
     WEEK 3 Tor +109
          WEEK 4 Tor +100
               WEEK 5 Tor -82

On top of the momentum BC has,
The Lions are awfully good on the road - especially defensively
BC is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Roadies
BC has played UNDER in their last NINE Road Games

BC’s QB Travis Lulay is in a helluva groove, also
Lulay’s performance last week was crazy good:
LULAY: 30-37 (81%) 315 Yards & 3 TD (0 INT)

This was a good bounce back sign for BC & Lulay
Who put up some awfully good numbers Week 3+4
(More Yards; 360 & 346)
Lulay had thrown uncharacteristically high 4 Picks (3 TD) in 2 Games

BC has admittedly made it thru their rough patch
Still in ‘First’ Place (4 way tie)

Toronto has skated thru at 3-2
Yet single digits have decided all their games
Though Argos have topped 27 Pts just ONCE in 5 Games

Lastly, Toronto’s enigmatic, streaky QB Ricky Ray
Faces his old Rivals, BC
Ray had many epic battles vs. BC in a 10 Yr Career
Most recent games have been ONE-SIDED, BC Wins

Ray & Edmonton dropped 4 Straight to BC Last season
w/BC DL keying in on Ray’s rollouts & West-Coast tendencies
RAY was even benched in Week 5 BC 36-1 Win at Edmonton
After completing just 11 Passes w/3 INT
QB Ricky Ray: 11 INT last year: 8 vs. BC
Toronto’s Ray has thrown #1 Receiver Owens’ way an alarming 41% in 2012
This is tailor-made for BC Lions CFL-Best Defense

(BC’s Lulay went to 9 different receivers at least 2x last week)

In the end, the Argos still should get their share of stops tomorrow
Thus, really like BC & the Under

2½ UNIT
BC LIONS -3 (sportsbook.ag)*
TORONTO

1 UNIT
BC LIONS
TORONTO | UNDER 52½ (sportsbook.ag)

(Must act now - many books have spun up to BC -3½
Play was a full 3 Unit when line was BC -2½, for what its’ worth)*

All the best, guys.

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6219
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Top 75 Contributor

Damn glad we pulled the trigger at BC -3 ~ wouldn't be surprised if the line gets to BC -4 or higher.

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

dennistyler
Joined: 12/12/2009
Posts: 12385
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Appreciate it Beav! Have a good one.

unc2728
Joined: 03/14/2009
Posts: 2369
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Nice Work Steve !  Tailed along $$$$

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so4
Joined: 02/05/2010
Posts: 1881
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Great work Steve, I tagged along. I had this plays lined up but you are the cfl expert...

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Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6219
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

$
Very belated thanks, dennistyler, unc2728 & so4.
Stuck out on the Interstate(s) for days on end. 
Movin onward (9-4 CFL Season 2012)

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

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