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NFL Team O/U and Expectations
illy
Joined: 11/09/2010
Posts: 70
Prep School
Not Ranked

An injury to any starting qb would likely  kill a teams over bet. Yes there are going to be injuries but I don't feel it kills  the value in betting a teams over. We could debate this to death but if your taking value from a team over because the star player CAN get hurt u might has well just bet every team under due to the fact u put more value  on the chance a star gets hurt than u do in them playing all year

illy
Joined: 11/09/2010
Posts: 70
Prep School
Not Ranked

Up next the buffalo bills

Over under 6.5 offshore. 7 Vegas  again all depends on where u are booking your action

Bills finished the year 6-10. 1-5 in the div

They started out of the gate strong in 2011 with 3 straight wins and looking pretty strong.

Followed the 3 wins up with a 2-2 record over the next 4 with the 2 losses being each by 3 points against the eventual sb champs on the road and the bengals which was also on the road.

Things turned bad after that finishing the year 1-8 over the last 9 and losing starting rb Jackson in the process.

The bills have signed some big defense  contributors in the offseason the biggest of all being Mario Williams.Public perception is the the bills have a pretty good defense. I beg to differ , again in the stat the I think gets over looked by the avg NFL fan  opp yards per point.

The bills were 30th last yr only ahead of TampaBay and the Vikings with 13.7.

The signing of Williams anderson and the acquisition of Gilmore in the draft, as well a full training camp for last yr rookie dareus I feel the defense will improve.

This season the bills have one of the easiest schedules only behind the patriots and the packers

facing opponents who's combine record was .473.

Road games -Jets browns 49ers cardinals texans patriots colts dolphins

Home games-Cheifs patriots titans dolphins jaguars rams Seahawks jets

I do feel with the additions to the defense and Fred Jackson back to start the year they will improve  but as for their record  I see them finishing right at 7-9   No value for me on either side. I think Vegas hit this line right on.

CoverOne
Joined: 01/14/2011
Posts: 229
Jr. College
Not Ranked

illy

An injury to any starting qb would likely  kill a teams over bet. Yes there are going to be injuries but I don't feel it kills  the value in betting a teams over. We could debate this to death but if your taking value from a team over because the star player CAN get hurt u might has well just bet every team under due to the fact u put more value  on the chance a star gets hurt than u do in them playing all year

True, I shouldn't have singled out Brady. I guess I meant more along the lines of role players, but injuries are random and cant account for them, unless your expecting a team to have less injuries if they were riddled with them before.

NFL Playoffs last 2 years

Sides: 9-3

Totals: 3-6

2012

Sides: 4-2

Totals: 0-4

Exotics: 1-0

2011

Sides: 5-1

Totals: 3-2

5th place in Delivery Man's 2011 Hilton Copycat Contest

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