i try to look for Unders, because there's often value there and too many Overs are inflated cuz the public loves them. but plenty of Overs still hit, especially with how the game is officiated these days. some good overs this week:
NYG at Wash - Over 47.5
Cousins at home against a suspect defense... plus the Giants can score and Washington's D is now missing DB Culliver. they were never a good secondary and now they're down another man. 28-24 or 31-21 type game.
Tampa at Indy - Over 46.5
Weak defense at home. Jameis has weapons and they seem to be playing loose and confident. Colts still have decent skill players around competent vet QB. Obviously both teams motivated as they are in the playoff mix to different extents. but on the turf with no weather and no dominating defense... not sure why this total isn't higher than 46.5. like the over.
Saints at Texans - Over 48
I know the saints are off the bye with a new D coordinator, but they wont be the 85 Bears overnight. Now a road turf game at a renewed Texans team with Hoyer back in place at Hopkins wreaking havoc outside. And while Houston's defense has stepped up the last 2 weeks, Drew Brees and company should still manage to chip in some scoring of their own.
your thoughts and feedback welcome!