The SMART INTANGIBLE for my play today - We have a clash of high-powered offenses facing not-so-stellar defenses, so when the Pittsburgh Steelers face the San Diego Chargers clash for this Monday night affair, I think this total soars. Yes, Pittsburgh has a few questions on the offensive side of the ball. But I like Michael Vick in this one, as he will have had 11 days since Pittsburgh’s last game, and I think he'll be better this week. The Steelers are getting Martavis Bryant back from suspension this week, so Vick will be able to use his to go for big-yardage plays. There will be plenty of balance with this unit, too, as running back Le’Veon Bell will be able to make explosive moves against San Diego's lackluster defense that is vulnerable against the run.
The X-FACTOR in making this choice on this game - My x-factor, however, is the fact San Diego has Antonio Gates back. That's a dynamic you cannot ignore, and have to consider when playing totals. Quarterback Philip Rivers will be looking for his favorite target often tonight, against Pittsburgh's less threatening defense than in the past. San Diego boasts the third-ranked offense in the NFL with 411 yards per game, while Rivers leads the league in passing. Gates and Keenan Allen are poised to have big games for the Bolts.
In SUMMARY, why this is the SMART PLAY with this game - Pittsburgh tends to get on the scoreboard quick and often after losing, as it is 8-2 Over after losing on the field and 4-1 Over after an ATS loss. The Chargers, meanwhile, just went over against Cleveland, at home, in a 30-27 win. That was after two lackluster offensive performances on the road. San Diego is 2-0 Over at home this season, averaging 31.5 points per game at Qualcomm Stadium. Play this one high.....OVER Steelers/Chargers
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