Here we go! Unlike everyone else who has Dallas in their top 10, I have them in my bottom 5. Which teams do you DISAGREE with the most?
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The 1st column is my rating the beginning of the year
2nd column current.
3rd column is home field edge if not 3
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(0 means average team. -2 means two points worse than average. 2 means two points better than average. Starting point for spread is difference between numbers plus home field.)
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Initially |
Current |
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Arizona |
0.5 |
1.5 |
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Atlanta |
-0.5 |
0 |
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Baltimore |
3 |
0.5 |
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Buffalo |
1 |
0 |
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Carolina |
-1.5 |
0.5 |
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Chicago |
-6 |
-8 |
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2 |
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Cincy |
2.5 |
3.5 |
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Cleveland |
-4 |
-5 |
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Dallas |
2.5 |
-5 |
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2 |
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Denver |
5 |
3 |
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Detroit |
1.5 |
-0.5 |
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Green Bay |
6 |
6 |
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4 |
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Houston |
-1 |
-2.5 |
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Indy |
4 |
1 |
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Jax |
-6.5 |
-6 |
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2 |
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KC |
1.5 |
3 |
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Mia |
2 |
1 |
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2 |
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Minny |
0 |
0 |
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NEW Eng |
6 |
7 |
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New Orl |
0 |
OFF |
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NYG |
-3 |
-3.5 |
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2 |
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NYJ |
-2 |
0.5 |
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2 |
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Oakland |
-6 |
-4.5 |
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2 |
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Philly |
3 |
0 |
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Pit |
2.5 |
3 |
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SD |
0.5 |
0.5 |
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SF |
-6 |
-4 |
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2 |
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Sea |
7 |
5 |
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4 |
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St. Louis |
-1 |
-1 |
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Tampa |
-6 |
-6 |
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2 |
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Ten |
-5 |
-3 |
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2 |
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Wash |
-6 |
-3.5 |
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2 |
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Chicago assumes Cutler out (2 point upgrade with him)
Cowboys assume Romo out (6 point upgrade with him)
Cleveland assumes McCown (1 point downgrade with Manziel)
No number on Saints due to Brees uncertainty
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Here's my Wiseguy Report - I tell you 4 NFL games professional bettors have hit so far, and explain why.