I've turned a profit in the NFL 19 of 21 years by spending long hours researching, watching and talking to sources that I've developed and cultivated the last 38 years having been a sportswriter for more than 20 years and sports analyst/handicapper the past 18 years. In the end, it comes down to my own gut feel. I've been passionate about the NFL since I first started watching back in 1963 (the year the Bears won the championship under George Halas beating Y.A. Tittle's Giants in the championship game).
I know the players. I understand what trends, angles, statistics and history have meaning and what is just verbiage. I go through every game beginning the previous week. It's important to not only stay ahead, but also not to have your judgment completely clouded by what just happened. Rarely is an NFL team as bad or as good as it might have looked the week before. Sometimes this leads to an early play where often I can get the best of the number before the marketplace gets fully involved. I respect key numbers - stop signs as I call them - but I am not intimidated by them. If all my research and instincts put me on a side or total, I will play it unless the number is too outrageous.
Unlike many professional handicappers, I use my real name. I'm not afraid to put my real name to something. There are too many scammers and fakes, who rely more on marketing and promotion than knowledge and true handicapping skill. But I put in the 60 plus hours a week necessary to do the research and work. You'll be able to see that in my detailed analysis that I have for every play I put out. I'm a fundamental style handicapper basing much of my opinion on matchup analysis along with situational elements and pertinent statistics. I don't prejudge games. A team could be playing on the road a third consecutive week, but that doesn't automatically disqualify them as a play.
Last year, I hit 56 percent of my regular season plays, finishing on a 9-1 run on my premium and free plays. Just three seasons ago, I won 67 percent going 65-32-4. I am 10-2 during the past three seasons with my Super Bowl props. I plan on incorporating prop plays into my side and totals plays. I have always done extremely well with props being a multi-Rotisserie league champion and having written a book on fantasy football.
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If you have any questions or feedback about my plan to win this NFL season simply reply to this thread and I will personally respond as soon as I can. Thanks and BOL this season!