1-4 Between Monday and Thursday. Let's get it back today. BOL everyone. Will be adding.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
SEATTLE -7 over Arizona: I know that the Cardinals are playing very well this year and they do have the best record in the NFL, but I really feel that the Seahawks are due to put a hurtin’ on a team and make a statement that they are still a formidable team. The Seahawks also have revenge on their minds for last year 17-10 home loss, which was their only home loss of the year. This game will be Drew Stanton’s biggest test so far and he hasn’t been all good when he has played this year, completing just 53.6% of his passes and last week vs a very tough Detroit defense he didn’t do anything past the first quarter. Now he will go to one of the toughest venues for even the most seasoned QBs to play well. I just don’t see him doing allot in this one, while the Seattle offense should wake up and have some success vs an Arizona defense that isn’t as good on the road as they are at home. Seattle by 10+ in this one.
St Louis/ San Diego Under 43.5: The Chargers offense is not as good as it was in the early part of the year and it starts with Rivers who is banged up a bit and just not making the plays he was. Now vs a tough St Louis pass rush I expect him to have more problems in this game and I also expect more of a running game from the Bolts to help take the pressure off of Rivers. The Charger defense will have to pick up the slack if they hope to win this one and they have been solid this year, especially at home where they have allowed just 12.8 ppg and 271.4 ypg on the year. The St Louis defense has struggled on the road, but they will be taking on a San Diego offense that has scored just 13.5 ppg in their last 4 games. The Under is 23-9 in Rams last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 12-4 in Chargers last 16 games following a S.U. win. Look for this one to be played in the mid-30s.
Denver/ Miami Under 48: This one really sets up as low scoring game. The Bromco offense has not been as sharp this year and now are dealing with injuries to RB Hillman and WRs Emmanuel Sanders (Prob) and Julius Thomas, plus they still have an OL this is a mess. Very hard for to expect them tom put up a ton of points facing a very tough Miami pass rush. Overall this has been a solid Miami defense that ranks 2nd in the league in yards allowed, 2nd in passing and 4th in points allowed (18.0 ppg). I see them being able to slow down here. The Broncos are not all about offense as they come in ranked 5th in yards allowed and 2nd vs the run, while allowing just 22.4 ppg overall, including just 19.8 ppg at home. Denver home games have averaged 54 ppg, but Miami road games have averaged just 39 ppg and none of their last 5 games overall have put up more than 41 points and we also note that the last 4 in this series has put up 44 points or less. I look for no more than 42 points in this one, especially since the Under is 7-1-1 Miami's last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
6 Point Teaser: New England -1 & San Francisco -2.5
BEST OF THE REST
PHILADELPHIA -11 over Tennessee: The Eagles were thoroughly embarrassed last week at Green Bay, while Tennessee is off a short week and off a very physical and draining battle with the Steelers on Monday night. This is not a good spot for the Titans. The Eagles have been very good at home, outscoring their opponents by 15.4 ppg, while Tennessee has been outs cored by 10 ppg on the road. The Eagles are 9-1 ATS off a DD loss in which they allowed 40 or more points, while the Titans are just 1-9 ATS off a non-division Monday night game. I look for the Eagles to bounce back big in this one.
Dallas/ Giants Over 47.5: Some crazy crap goes on in these night games and im hoping it does so tonight which will lead to more points. The Dallas offense has had a week off to try and get back to putting up the numbers that they did earlier in the year, which included scoring 26 or more in 5 of their first 7 games. During that stretch they scored 31 points vs this same Giants squad and should have similar success vs a defense that is 31st in yards allowed and 27th in points allowed, giving up 26.3 ppg. The Giant offense isn’t all that strong, but they are capable of getting some scores vs a Dallas defense that really has played over its head this year. The 0ver is 8-3-1 the last 12 meetings in New York and I expect that trend to continue here.
Cincinnati/ Houston Under 44: The Houston offense is not all that good as they have been dealing with injuries and inconsistent play at QB. The Texans have averaged just 22.3 ppg at home this year and I don’t see them topping that in this one vs a Bengals defense that has struggled this year, but also come in with confidence after holding New Orleans to just 10 points last week. The Bengal offense has been a model of inconsistency this year, especially on the road where they have averaged just 16.8 ppg, while Houston has allowed just 21.8 ppg at home. The Under is 20-6-1 in Bengals last 27 games following a SU win of more than 14 points and 11-4 in Texans last 15 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. This one should be played in the mid 30s.
10 Point Teaser: Seattle/ Arizona Under 51 & Colts/ Jags Under 60 & Packers +1.5
Cleveland/ Atlanta Over 47.5
San Francisco/ Washington Under 44
NFL 2014
Top Plays Overall 38-37-2 (-5 Units)... 4 Unit 2-2-0 (-0.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 21-19-2 (+1.0 Units)... Power Angle Plays 1-2-0 (-3.6 Units)... Top Play Teasers 11-14-0 (-20.4 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 38-59-1 (-49.4 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 15-27-1 (-29.4 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 10-13-0 (-9.6 Units)