BILLS +3 1H and UNDER 20.5 1H
Miami has injuries all over their offense. Their top left tackle is out, forcing them to shuffle the entire offensive line. Tannehill and Miller are not 100%. And on top of it all the Dolphins now have to play on short rest. I expect a very conservative approach from the Dolphins for the majority of this game.
On the Bills side, Spiller is out, Fred Jackson is likely out, and Watkins still may not be 100% over his groin injury. The lack of playmakers on the Bills offense means there is less of a threat for long touchdown plays.
Finally both of these teams are awful in the red zone. Neither team is great offensively, and based on the injury situation for Miami, I like the Bills chances to keep this one close and maybe even win. http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/red-zone-scoring-pct
The Bills beat the Dolphins 29-10 in week 2. Don't be surprised if the Bills defense shuts down the Dolphins offense again tonight.
There is a slight correlation with these two plays, but I still prefer to play them separate rather than parlay them. BOL everyone, let's have a winning night.