Denver Broncos (-3, 54.5) vs New England Patriots
Many feel that the it is a surprise that the Broncos are the favorite. Money has been coming in on the Under here and that is due to the weather forecast that looks to be nasty for the game.
A big reason that Denver may be favored here is their yards per play differential, which is around +1.5. Dave states that if you eliminate the Super Bowl then what they have done since has been very impressive. Dave has them listed as -3 over anyone in the NFL on a neutral field.
Now the flip side we note that Brady is 50-3 at home SU since 2007. A big thing you will here is the weather and that Peyton does not play well in cold weather parks, but Dave isn't sure the past stats matter much here as Peyton has now had two years to practice out in the cold of Denver.
Dave still says that Brady/ Belichick at home getting points may be too much to pass up, while Teddy states he likes the Broncos side.
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