#1: Carolina Panthers +3
One big home win for the Saints and the bettors are once again backing this team. Currently, they’re getting close to 70% of bettors’ support. The problem is that the Saints are over-valued. Prior to the season starting, Carolina was listed as a -2.5 home favorite in this game. In addition, they opened at PK and no rose a full 3 points. Let’s not forget, this is a Thursday Night Football game, short week, and the Saints are on the road. This team is 1-3 ATS and 0-4 SU on the road this year, while the Panthers are 3-1 ATS at home. Saints have losses @ ATL, @ CLE, @ DAL, and @ DET this year. Three of the four were decided by a combined 6 points, but that’s the point here. With such a bad defense, teams tend to hang with New Orleans, especially at home. Typically on a Thursday Night Football I look to back the home team, who I feel has a strong advantage with not having to travel and a little more time to prepare. With this being a big divisional matchup, both teams knowing each other, and most importantly Carolina catching a full 3-points, this play is automatic from my perspective.
Good LUck