Best Bet from the famous Power Sweep newsletter (free exclusively at Pregame.com)
3* Denver over NY JETS -
In playoffs Rex Ryan has won and covered 2 of 3 meetings vs Manning holding him to 15 and 16 pts in 2 games. Manning has avg’d 265 ypg (67%) 4-0 in those games and after feasting for 479 yds (66%) 4-2 ratio he gets the #14 pass defense giving up 107.5 QBR. The Jets simply don’t have the DB’s to run Ryan’s high risk/high reward defense right now and teams are more than happy to avoid a rush defense allowing just 83 ypg (3.3). Geno Smith has simply failed to develop despite the improved weapons around him as his 69.3 QBR is barely better than his 66.5 rating LY. The Jets finally went to Vick after the half LW but he only had 47 yds (42%) with a shutout breaking score being nullified by being past the LOS. RB Ivory is the only bright spot on the team (314 yds 5.4) but the team has to abandon the run early on. DEN does have a trio of marquee games on deck vs SF/SD/NE but the Jets are reeling and with us winning on these pages LW playing on DEN and going against the Jets we’ll do so again here.
FORECAST: Denver by 13
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