***Bracket Picking Rules & Tips from Vegas! (all records since modern era began in 1985 unless noted) FIRST ROUND picks: TIP: Pick ZERO #1 or #2 seeds to lose. #16 seeds are 0 for 116 #15 seeds are 7 for 116 TIP: Pick at least ONE #13 or #14 seed to win. At least one Top 4 seed has lost in the first round 25 of 29 years #13 and #14 seeds combined win 18% of first round games TIP: Don't be shy picking upsets with #12 through #9 seeds. #12 seeds have won at least one game 23 of 25 years #9 seeds are 4 wins above .500 vs. #8 seeds SECOND ROUND picks: TIP: Advance #1 seeds into the 3rd round unless very good reason not to. 88% of #1 seeds advance to the Sweet 16 TIP: Keep advancing any #12 seeds you picked to win in Round One. #12 seeds win nearly half the time in Round Two #12 seeds have more Sweet 16 appearances overall than #7 seeds A double digit seed has made the Sweet Sixteen 27 of 29 years TIP: Pick at least ONE upset of a #2 or #3 seed. Only ONCE in 29 years has all the top three seeds (#1, #2, #3) made the Sweet Sixteen TIP: Do NOT pick any seed worse than #12 to win in the 2nd round. Only 9 of 464 teams (less than 2%) advancing past Round 2 were seeded worse than #12 Sweet 16 round picks: TIP: Advance exactly three #1 seeds into the Elite 8. 71% of #1 seeds make the Elite 8 (that's a higher percentage than #5 seeds that win a single game!) TIP: Advance no team worse than a #11 seed into the Elite 8 26 have made it the Sweet 16, but only 1 of 232 Elite 8 teams seeded worse than #11 Elite 8 round picks: TIP: Advance exactly ONE or TWO #1 seeds to the Final Four. The Final Four has included exactly one or two #1 seeds 23 of 29 years TIP: Advance no team worse than a #8 seed to the Final Four. Only 3 of 140 Final Four teams (since 1979) have been seeded worse than #9 FINAL FOUR round picks: TIP: Advance NO team worse than a #6 seed to the Championship game. Only ONE team worse than #6 has made it in last 28 years TIP: Do NOT advance TWO #1 seeds to Championship game Since tournament seeding began 35 years ago (1979) only 6 times have two #1 seeds made the finals CHAMPIONSHIP GAME pick: TIP: Pick a #4 seed or better to win it all. For 25 straight years the champion has been a #4 seed or better!
RJ Bell - Pregame.com Founder & CEO | Twitter: @RJinVegas
Great stuff RJ!
My Intent is to contribute to the Pregame forum by spotting frauds from infecting new members and gamblers.
Thank you for the tips RJ. Will you be posting any team specific notes later this week?
That is some of tje best info I have ever read on the site
Always love this reminder RJ
RJ - you claim that only one team worse than a #6 seed has made the Final Four in the last 28 years. There are more than one, although it's small. #11 LSU in 1986, #8 North Carolina in 2000 (I seem to recall there were two #8's in 2000 - was Ohio State a #8 that year, too?), #11 VCU in 2011 (I don't believe a single #1 made the Final Four in 2011). And who could forget #11 George Mason in 2006 or #9 Wichita State just last year? You may want to double check my memory, but there have been several teams below a 6 seed that made the Final Four in the modern era.
Raiderman66 he said advanced to the championship game. Read it again.