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# Sleepy'sFantastic 5* (75-63) 54.3 % The end

 Thread Starter Sleepy'sFantastic 5* (75-63) 54.3 % The end
Joined: 11/01/2012
Posts: 32514
Rank NA

In this thread i will make 5 plays daily..I will keep a record of plays..Both CBB and NBA...The goal is 60+%...This will run for 30 days.

Friday  Feb 21st

Duke          Under 136.5      = Winner

Vandy        + 4.5                   = Winner

UNLV         + 7.5                   = Winner

Utah  St      - 6                       = Loser

San Diego St   + 4               = Loser

**32-17** (65.3%) All-Time GOY

Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 3085

i understand fully that people shoot for 60%...BUT here you have 5 picks. unless you go 4-1 after all the capping you are doing and paying the juice...are we working to hard for such a small margin? Obviously you are hoping that you exceed 60%. Just wondering what the thoughts were on this logic?

I check into your threads often and i think you will go above the goal. again, just wondering!? GDLK!

Bwizzle

Joined: 04/24/2011
Posts: 7217

Good Luck Sleepy...all the best it can be done playing volume, I'm at about 56% for the season in the NHL, I wish you all the best. Plus I'm playing all your games .....so I really wish you ALL the best LOL

Joined: 09/21/2012
Posts: 5983

Let's do some math here to see how powerful Sleepyj's  can turn out to be and that he does not have to go 4-1 or 5-0 to make some serious money at this.  First, this is a razor thin margin on a daily basis.  If he makes 5 bets everyday, all bets are the same amount, all bets are at -110, and he goes 3-2 everyday, then he is earning a daily return of 1.818%, which admittedly does not sound like much.  Let's see what happens over time.

Let's assume sleepyj starts with a \$500 bankroll and he bets \$50 on the first day (\$10/bet), then he reinvests his winnings in the bankroll and continues to bet at the rate of 10% of his bankroll everyday.  We will also continue to assume he goes 3-2 everyday and earns 1.818% each day.  By the end of his first month, his bankroll will have increased to \$858, a 71% rate of return for one month.  How many of your friends brag about their investments earning 71% in a year, much less a month?  Now, let's take that out over a whole year.  Let's assume that sleepyj does this all year - all 365 days for the year.  He goes 3-2 everyday, and earns 1.818% per day and reinvests all his winnings back into his bankroll.  His bankroll at the end of the year will be nearly \$359,000!

Now in reality, we know this will not happen.  We know the most elite bettors are making 57%.  We know that even the best bettors go through slumps, and that there will be lots of 2-3 and 1-4 days. And for me, it would be mentally exhausting and I would need plenty of days off!  And if sleepyj is too successful, his books will start limiting his bets.  Plus, if he becomes that successful, he will also pull some money out for himself.  Believe, I would love to see sleepyj pull this off.  I think it would be really awesome!  I also want to show  that it doesn't require a bunch of 4-1 days to be ultra successful.  This is a grind, no one gets rich overnight.  Just keep at it day after day.

BOL sleepy!

Joined: 10/10/2009
Posts: 30891
Rank NA

all the best Pa neighbor!!!

It's what you do today that determines your future,not what you do tomorrow &

You want JR on your side. Pick Virgins: \$25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate! Most profit any Pro L2 NFL Seasons 57.6%

Right from the Pregame office "JR O'DONNELL had the most profit of any Pro over the last two NFL seasons (57.6%Winners during that time). Obviously you want JR on your side" JRO Train is rolling with the Chicago Bulls +2.5 today

Joined: 11/01/2012
Posts: 32514
Rank NA

Thanks Guys..I know 60% is hard to do...some might say fade the plays...Hey u might make out better as i have started off baskets very slow..but i have sat back and watched for weeks..I feel im ready to make the next step..I really concentrate on one sport and in baskets..I do play volume...i do like the 5 plays a day approach.

**32-17** (65.3%) All-Time GOY

Joined: 09/27/2011
Posts: 5785

Good luck sleepy.  Hope u get that 60 percent

Avatar challenge with sleepyj  3-0

Joined: 08/25/2011
Posts: 9912

BOL Sleepyj....

Joined: 11/01/2012
Posts: 32514
Rank NA

thanks steve and Mason..lets all cash some tickets

**32-17** (65.3%) All-Time GOY

Joined: 04/17/2010
Posts: 6798

Picking 5 a day is tough.  I wish SleepyJ the best also.  I think there was a solid CBB bettor on here a couple of years ago - JohnnyReb was his name I think.  He said he would hit 60% with 100 picks over 30 days and he hit 58%, which is very good.  Fezzik's picks hit 56.85% over the six years he played in the NFL Hilton contest between 2006 and 2012 and he won 1st twice.  Sleepy will have more games on the board to choose from on most days, but less time to select.

If any bettor can hit at 60% making 5 picks a day, eventually they will start making serious money if they just keep betting 1-3% of their bankroll on every play.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB163141353.62715.00
CFB4448047.83-872.00
MLB145142950.52-390.00
NBA4346148.31-733.00
NFL4951149.00-812.00
NHL3036845.45-656.00
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