Can we selectively back teams like the Lakers in great spots, even though we want to generally fade them every chance we can get? Will Boston slow the game down after playing in Denver? If Co St is clearly the best team in the MWC, then how can struggling UNLV be laying 3.5 tonight in town?
Steve, you mentioned this "Chart" the books use when determining 2nd half lines in this audio cast and the video with Bryan. Would you please post a copy of it or if you don't have a copy of it, would you post the formulae the books use to set the line?
No matter what the sport, if you can consistently identify teams with a strong emotional edge you will win money.
- Trace Fields
The Chart on Sides is more complicated.
For totals it's pretty simple. In general, take the 2h Total Pregame (I call it PreFlop), and then adjust 15% for 1st half scoring
Example. GAme total 150. 1h 71. 2h 79.
1h Score is 91 Points. Make 2h total 79 +.15*20= 82. Bump it up 3 points for the happy action funtime 1h........
Note, you can see how you can just manually do this also......a bookmaker can see "NO D!....move that 79 UP!"
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! 2010-2011 CFB/NFL Combined 60-42
Your insight on the Celtics-Lakers game was right on the money Steve. Great call.
2013 MLB Season 113-103, +18.82 Units
2013 NFL Playoffs 3-3, +.7 Units
2012-2013 NBA Season 103-126 -31.9 Units
2012-2013 CBB Season 80-77, -.3 Units
2012-2013 NHL Season 6-13, -8 Units
2012 MLB Season 146-154, +20.02 Units
2012 MLB Playoffs 5-1, +5.65 Units
2012 CFB Season 37-38, -3.1 Units
2012 NFL Season 29-41, -22 Units
2011-2012 NBA 102-101, -4.9 Units
2011-2012 CBB 111-88, +16.3 Units
2011 NFL 29-24-5, +2.6 Units
2011 CFB 19-26, -9.6 Units
When we played softball, I'd steal second base, feel guilty and go back. - Woody Allen