And we press on. Just not getting some of the bounces i had earlier in the year. I look for a good day today.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Austin Peay +12 over EASTERN KENTUCKY: Austin Peay has not had a great year (6-20), but as i will show you this team has been very competitive. The Govenors have won 2 in a row, with both wins coming on the road and they are now 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 away from home. Now when their team was mired in a 1-16 stretch prior to their two game win streak, we note that 11 of those losses were by 10 or less and 2 other losses were by 13 points, plus 3 of those loses were in OT. The Govenors are 3-10 in the OVC, but their 10 losses have been by just 8.1 ppg. This is a team that just havent given up, despite their record. On the other side we have an EKU team that has had a great year so far at 21-6 overall and 10-3 in the OVC. They are 14-1 at home, but this is not a team that will blow you out as they have outscored their opponents by just 10 ppg at home, winning just 1 of their OVC home games by more than 11 points and that one was by 13 points. We also note that this is a great look-a-head spot for EKU as they have their bracketbuster game vs Valpo on deck this Saturday. One team that won't roll over and die, vs another team that just doesn't blow teams out and has a big game on deck. The Govenors should keep this one in single digits.
Depaul/ Georgetown Under 138: Contrasting styles here as Depaul likes the uptempo game, while the Hoyas prefer to slow it down and they play great defense. This is a high OU line for a Georgetown game as their average OU line has been just 120.5 within the Big East this year. Georgetown's Big East games have averaged just 118.5 ppg and only 1 of their 12 BE games put up more than 132 points and that was the 139 points scored in their game vs Providence. The Blue Demons can score some points, but they also needed OT to get to 70+ points in 3 of their Big East games, were held to just 55 vs Pitt and 62 to St Johns in their first meeting. Now they take on perhaps the best defense in the league in Georgetown. The Hoyas have allowed more than 65 points just once in their BE games and 63 points or less in each of their last 8 games. Georgetown has allowed just 54.4 ppg at home and just 54.1 ppg in their last 7 games overall. Offensively Georgetown just doesn't have the horses or the will to take advantage of a bad Depaul defense. The Hoyas prefer a slower game and they averaged 64.2 ppg overall and just 64 pg at home. I don't see them running up and down the floor, while their defense will keep the Demons from putting up more than 60 here. 69-56 sounds about right.
Memphis/ Houston Over 149.5: Should be a fun uptempo game. The Cougars really like to push the ball and they are ranked 44th in the nation in tempo. Houston has averaged a solid 76.7 ppg on the year, but their defense has been weak as they have allowed 73 ppg overall and 77.9 ppg on the road. The Cougars are 304th in the nation in defensive efficiency and will be taking on a Memphis squad that averages 74.9 ppg overall and 76.9 ppg at home. Memphis has averaged 81.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while Houston has allowed 81.8 ppg in their last 5 games, so I fully expect the Tigers to hit the 80+ point mark in this one. Memphis i #1 in defensive efficiency in Conference USA, but the Cougars in an uptempo game are more than capable of putting up 70 points on this defense. 87-70 sounds like a good final here.
OHIO STATE -5.5 over Minnesota: (Added)The Gophers have been a solid team at home this year, but they have struggled on the road, especially in the Big 10. Minnesota is 1-5 in their Big 10 road games and have lost 5 in a row away from home, with 4 of the 5 losses being by 7 points or more. The Buckeyes lone conference home loss was to Indiana, but overall they are 13-2 at home and have outscored their opponents by 18.4 ppg on this floor. OSU allows just 56.1 ppg at home, while putting 74.5 . Minnesota scores just 63.2 ppg, while allowing 64 ppg on the road. Good spot for a nice DD Buckeyes win here. Key Trend --- The Favorite is 11-1 ATS the last 12 meetings.
3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- Kansas +8, Arizona -4.5 & Colorado State +12 (Added)
2 UNIT PLAYS
KENTUCKY -10.5 over Vanderbilt
Wisconsin/ Northwestern Under 117
Kansas +1 over OKLAHOMA STATE
1 UNIT PLAYS
Providence/ Syracuse Over 136
ARIZONA -12.5 over Washington (Added)
3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- Gonzaga -4.5, Texas A&M +8 & Air Force +15 (Added)
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Good luck jeff.
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Thanks NL and Lesh. BOL to you both tonight as well.
I feel that pride will take over for UK tonight Lesh and yes Im sure that getting ripped by Coach won't hurt. I say they roll
Austin Peay along with SEMO are playing their best basketball of the season right now in the OVC. I had hoped to get a line of around 15 and I was going to unload on it but this will probable be an average play for me also. G/L Jeff
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2011-12 CBB REGULAR SEASON: 146-112 56.59% +44.58 units
2011-12 CBB POSTSEASON: 73-71 50.69% -13.33 units
2011 CFB OVERALL: 18-10 64.3% +15.38 units
2011 CFB FCS: 18-8 69.2% +20.98 units
2011 CFB SEMO: 7-1 87.5% +23.8 units
2010-11 CBB POSTSEASON: 22-18 55.0% -2.21 units2010-11 CBB REG. SEASON: 107-115 48.2% -6.28 units2010-11 CFB REG. SEASON: 11-18 37.93% -23.24units2009-10 CBB REG. SEASON: 92-76 54.8% +40.06 units2009-10 CBB POSTSEASON: 32-24 57.1% +16.75 units
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BOL Jeff & GET MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!
"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"
Liking that PC - SYRACUSE Over a great deal.
QUESTION JEFF: What do you think about a small Friars play as well; Providence Proficiency numbers looking consistently better, especially Offensively vs an Orange Team on Cruise? Appreciate all your continuing diligent work, Jeff. Gotta be heavy load prepping for stick & ball & capping CBB.
Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSISOregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"
BOL tonight Jeff!
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Like the Wisky total, even though it is low. BOL on your card Jeff!
Thanks Guys and all the best to you as well.
Steve-- I actually would lean Syracuse. I just feel they are ready to put a hurtin on a team. and Providence is off a huge win vs the Irish. Just my thoughts though. BOL to you tonight my friend