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CBB SAT Big Card | Utah Utes at #19 Oregon Ducks

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Thread Starter CBB SAT Big Card | Utah Utes at #19 Oregon Ducks
Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6759
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Top 75 Contributor

Many dynamics at work in Eugene
Pesky Utes at Tumbling Ducks

Sat Feb 9, 2013 | 8:05 PM, EST | PAC-12 Network
Matthew Knight Arena | Eugene, Oregon

UTAH UTES 10-12 (2-8 Conf)
#19 OREGON DUCKS 18-5 (7-3 Conf)

UU

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
UTAH 5-10 | 172 Jr Glen Dean
UTAH 6-03 | 173 Sr Jarred DuBois
UTAH 6-04 | 206 Sr Cedric Martin
UTAH 6-06 | 232 Fr Jordan Loveridge
UTAH 6-10 | 242 Sr Jason Washburn

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
UTAH 6-05 | 187 Fr Dakarai Tucker
UTAH 7-00 | 252 So Dallin Bachynski

Utes in the basement as expected,
Yet, UU’s been gaining some ground in Conf Play
UU served notice that their surprising 1ST Conf Win wasn’t an outright fluke
UU followed straight up 74-65 Win at then-Conf unbeaten 4-0 UW
When UU was double digit underdog)
w/a Home Win over last-years’ PAC-12 Tourney Winner, COLO 58-55

UU also has ramped up some of their paltry numbers from just 2 Months ago

Almost inevitable, yet Utes have improved OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
To a respectable 1.007 Points Per Possession

Renewed health & depth w/UU’s Twin Tower Centers
UTAH 6-10 | 242 Sr Jason Washburn
UTAH 7-00 | 252 So Dallin Bachynski

Permitted UU’s disciplined Guards, DuBois, Martin, & Dean
To go to work w/ HC Kristowiak’s unfashionable yet effective ‘1-4’
w/o Defenses having ability heavy overplay

UU is very well coached
UU has played well on the road (5-2-1 ATS this year)
UU has played ESPECIALLY well as Double-Digit Road Dogs (3-0 ATS this year)

Moreover, UU has been parading to FT-Line
UU has hit Double-Figures in FT’s in 7x Games
UU is also #2 in the PAC-12 at 75% FT’s)

FT Rate Increase is a common, apples-to-apples indicator,
Proof that an Offense is getting better

Lastly, UU 2-Pt Defense is #3 in PAC-12
ORE is the MOST 2-Point Heavy Team in PAC-12

ORE’s Offensive Footprint is real good matchup for Utes here

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
ORE 5-08 | 165 Jr Johnathan Loyd
ORE 6-05 | 202 Fr Damyean Dotson
ORE 6-05 | 205 Sr Carlos Emory
ORE 6-06 | 215 Sr E.J. Singler
ORE 6-11 | 243 Sr Tony Woods

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
ORE 6-07 | 226 Sr Arsalan Kazemi

INJURED STARTER
ORE 6-01 | 185 Fr Dominic Artis

Until Ore can get steady PG Play & Artis Back on the floor
They might not return to their dazzling form of their 1ST 20 Games

All ORE numbers are alarmingly down
Reflected in Ducks 47 Points, 2 Free Throw Attempts in Home Loss to CU
And an unprecedented 0-3 ORE slide,
For a team that was 7-0 PAC-12 and #10 Nationally

Ducks are bound to be driven to get back on winning track
YET, Ore also apt to be highly aware of early week trip to UW on Wed

Even for Ducks team needing a win
Ore can’t routinely look beyond UU, yet they probably are
This number is just too high

2½ UNIT
UTAH +12½ (-105 | sportsbook.ag)
OREGON

(Had this FULL 3 UNIT Play when line came out at +13, yet missed the window)
­­­­­­___________


Sat Feb 9, 2013 | 7:05 PM, EST | ESPN-U
Wells Fargo Arena | Tempe, Arizona

STANFORD CARDINAL 14-9 (5-5 Conf)
ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS 18-5 (7-3 Conf)

STAN

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
STAN 6-01 | 180 So Chasson Randle
STAN 6-07 | 231 Jr Josh Huestis
STAN 6-07 | 215 Jr Andy Brown
STAN 6-10 | 237 Jr Dwight Powell
STAN 6-10 | 235 Jr John Gage

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
STAN 5-11 | 178 Jr Aaron Bright
STAN 6-02 | 190 Sr Gabriel Harris
STAN 6-03 | 205 Jr Robbie Lemons
STAN 6-04 | 185 Fr Christian Sanders
STAN 6-09 | 215 Fr Rosco Allen
STAN 6-11 | 244 So Stefan Nastic INJ

ASU

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
AZST 5-10 | 173 Fr Jahii Carson
AZST 6-01 | 187 Jr Evan Gordon
AZST 6-06 | 197 Sr Carrick Felix
AZST 6-07 | 215 So Jonathan Gilling
AZST 7-02 | 252 Jr Jordan Bachynski

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
AZST 6-02 | 185 Sr Chris Colvin
AZST 7-00 | 255 Sr R Pateev
__________

Sat Feb 9, 2013 | 10:05 PM, EST | PAC-12 Network
Pauley Pavilion | Los Angeles, California

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS 11-12 (2-8 Conf)
UCLA BRUINS 17-6 (7-3 Conf)

WSU

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
WZU 6-03 | 175 So Royce Woolridge
WZU 6-05 | 195 Sr Mike Ladd
WZU 6-06 | 182 So Dexter Kernich-Drew
WZU 6-10 | 245 Sr Brock Motum
WZU 6-10 | 250 Jr D.J. Shelton

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
WZU 6-03 | 206 So DaVonte Lacy
WZU 6-05 | 190 Jr Will DiIorio

INJURED
WZU Brett Boese 6-07 | 214 Fr

UCLA

PREDOMINANT 2012-2013 STARTERS
UCLA 6-02 | 181 Sr Larry Drew
UCLA 6-05 | 222 Fr Jordan Adams
UCLA 6-06 | 226 Fr Shabazz Muhammad
UCLA 6-09 | 235 Fr Kyle Anderson
UCLA 6-10 | 231 Jr Travis Wear

KEY CONTRIBUTORS
UCLA 6-04 | 215 So Norman Powell
UCLA 6-10 | 232 Jr David Wear

Cougs have fallen into a tie for last place
Yet, as poor as Cougs have played at times
They’ve been in 8 of 9 close games
Only getting really beat soundly by #7 Cats

Wzu hits a lot of Threes & UCLA is Dead Last here
Bruins are feeling a little better about themselves
After 8 days off and a Feel-Good Last-Second Win over UW

UCLA Let-Down spot
I’d be inclined to take Cougs at +10
Except for Guard Play
UCLA Larry Drew’s Bruins are #1 most proficient Backcourt in PAC-12
UCLA #1 PAC-12 with 1.4 A|T-Over Ratio
WAZZU i#12 PAC-12 weakest, deficient Backcourt with 0.7 A|T-Over Ratio

As is stands, I like Cougs to stay w/in 4 Possessions

Also be inclined to back Stanford in Tempe
Yet, Cardinal seem to have issues w/teams like ASU
Who have TWO Post Defenders
(AzSt’s Two 7-Footers really jam up SU’s #1 Scorer Powell)

1 UNIT | 5½-POINT TEASER (-135 | 5-Dimes)
STANFORD +8
ARIZONA STATE
To
WASHINGTON STATE +15½
UCLA
___________

½ UNIT
DETROIT - PICK-EM (-105 | sportsbook.ag)
WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY

All the best, guys
Working on several more possibilities

Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Oregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"

Derrick132
Joined: 09/06/2009
Posts: 35
Practice Squad
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im locked and load good work as usually

getthenet
Joined: 01/18/2013
Posts: 282
College Varsity
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thanks bro

Griff
Joined: 08/20/2009
Posts: 22787
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Top 10 Contributor

bol mr. steve & get money!!!!!!!

"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6759
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Top 75 Contributor

Adding small Moneyline Play going off, MUST SEE GM in 10 Min:

MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI

Potent Offensive Battle

Most point to Missouri’s Home Game vs Florida in 10 Days
As the likely spot for Tigers to finally drop a Home Game this year
(Mizzou still 13-0 at Home this season)

Nevertheless, really liking Rebels in this spot to upset Tigers here
Mississippi has won 3 of their last 4 Roadies
Missouri trend to survive on Home Games Alone
Mizz 13-0 Home | 0-5 True Road Games
Moreover, I really like this matchup for Mississippi’s Marshall Henderson
TOP-5 in Three Point Shooting
Miss is running their Sets flawlessly over the past 2 Weeks
ESPECIALLY vs Up-Tempo Teams &/OR Teams not in TOP-10% Defensively
Mizzou is #11 in SEC Overall Defense

MISS HENDERSON LAST 2 GAMES (MssSt & at Fla)
28 PPG including 6½ Made Threes per Game (52%)

Whomever draws Henderson for Mizzou (Bell/Pressey/Ross)
Rebels could really carve up Missouri’s MTM Defense

¼ UNIT
MISSISSIPPI +255 (5-Dimes)
MISSOURI

Thanks, guys

Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Oregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6759
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Top 75 Contributor

Early - yet Mizzou is spinnin out their Home Cookin early, as feared (0.25 Unit to win 0.64)

Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Oregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"

lrcredneck85
Joined: 12/05/2012
Posts: 6002
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Top 100 Contributor

great work steve.....ill be tearfully going against the ducks tonight with ya

With summer in full swing, the prospect of keeping updated records at this point is mute.  Apologies, I just don't have time

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6759
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Top 75 Contributor

Thanks, Ircredneck85....Really see an Oregon Win w/a 64-59 Type score

Ducks have shot 11-51 From Deep during 3 Game slide (20.6%)

Ducks have also Lost despite holding last 2 Opponents to 36% FG + 8-39 Deep combined

Ducks haven't had fewer Turnovers than any opponent since (-2) vs Arizona (9 Games ago)  

Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Oregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"

RTG
Joined: 10/16/2010
Posts: 12117
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Top 50 Contributor

Always great insight Steve. Stay hot my friend

2013-2014 NBA: 278-241-6

2013-2014 NBA Totals: 40-22-1

2014 MLB: 6-11

2014 MLB Totals: 3-2

2013 MLB: 30-26

2013-2014 NFL: 12-6

2013-2014 CFB: 8-4-0

2013-2014 CBB: 8-11-1

Overall Record: 1489-1305-55

"The only sure thing about luck is that it will change." - Bret Harte

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6759
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

Few More Numbers:

DUCKS RECENT CRUNCHTIME BREAKDOWNS

Last 2 Oregon Games,
Ducks have scored 2 Total Points in Final 4 & 6.5 Game Minutes

Ore was Scoreless final 4:02 at UCB (10-0 Bears end)
Ore scored 2 Pts final 6:15 vs CU (10-2 Buffs end)
Ore pounded by 21 at SU (Cardinal 41-27 run over final 16 Min)

ORE BACKCOURT w/o INJURED [1] DOMINIC ARTIS

Ore Starting Backcourt Season Avg: 21.3 PPG
Dotson #1 Ore Scorer 11.1 PPG | Artis #5 at 10.2 PPG
Ore Backcourt Starters Avg 2.3 Made Threes Game (34%)

Ore Last 3 Games, still w/o Artis
Ore Starting Backcourt during this 0-3 slide: 9.7 PPG (31% FG)
Dotson & Loyd are 3-19 Deep (15.8%)

FYI 

Owner & Founder, ‘Way-Out-West Sports Productions, LLC’ & stevesportsstats.com, INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS
Oregon State University Class of 1993 | Beaver Nation is 'Powered by Orange' | "Always a great day to be a Beaver"

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