CBB Wednesday>>> Go Irish!!!

I don't have a side play on them but they are my team. Real exciting time to be an Irish fan. Mike Brey is an awesome coach and this team will only be better next year. 

5-4 overall last night, but just 2-3 in my top plays. Let's get it back today. I had a drs appointment earlier so limited on writeups tonight. The only one i have a longer writeup for is my google play.  Sorry no NBA tonight.

 

TOP PLAYS

5 UNIT PLAY

Rice/ Central Florida Over 130: The Rice owls allowed just 39 points to SMU 2 games, but let's not count that game as the Stangs haven't been able to score on anyone. Now in their last 8 games vs teams not named SMU the Owls have allowed 73.4 ppg, with those games having a total average of 139 ppg, while in their last tow home games vs teams not named SMU there has been an average of 157 ppg being scored.  CFL has an average offense, but it's has been better of late as they have averaged 65.4 ppg in their  last 5 games and they should have an easy time vs the owls tonight. The Knights have allowed 65.4 ppg in their last 7 games, giving an Owls team a that averages 70 ppg at home an excellent shot at hitting at least 65. I expect both teams to get at least in the high 60's in this one.

4 UNIT PLAYS

Georgia State/ Old Dominion Over 122: Not a lot of high scoring games for these teams this year, but both teams showed over the weekend that they can get up and down the fool and I feel the will have to do it here as neither offense wants to face these tough half court defenses. Georgia State's home games have averaged 125.8 ppg and I see a few more than that here. KEY TRENDS--- OLD DOMINION is 27-10 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997 and 10-2 OVER after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 

Temple -2.5 over LASALLE: The Owls are rolling right now as they have won their last 10 in a row and this once slow down offense has now put 73 or more points in each of those 10 games.Not only have the Owls won 10 in a row, but they have won those games by 13.8 ppg. Lasalle is reeling a bit as as they have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Thier only home loss on the year was to the Billikens, who I feel Temple is just as good as if not better than. Temple is 7-3 ATS the last 10 in the series and they have won the last 6 outright. Both trends should continue here.   

3 UNIT PLAYS

Notre Dame/ West Virginia Over 124.5: Google News Play. In looking at recent statements form both coaches you get the Impression that Huggins doesn't feel the Irish can be sped up, but Brey's comments would indicate that the Irish may be running in this game some. They have quick guards that can push the ball and they feel they can get down the floor on this bigger West Virginia squad. Well I feel that the Neer's will look to run right along with the Irish as they are not that good in a half court offense. The Irish may have been slowing the pace down for many of their games, but in their last 4 home games they have averaged 74.5 ppg and those games overall have averaged 136 ppg. West Virginia's last 5 Big East road games (Regulation) have averaged 134 ppg and they averaged 68.6 ppg in those games. The Irish may not have that same defensive intensity as they did during the 2nd half of the Nova game and that could lead to easier scoring by WVU, while ND will get their points at home. Both teams should hit the mid to up 60's in this one.

 
Long Beach State/ UCSB Over 140.5: Two of the higher scoring teams in the Big West square off tonight as the Gauchos come in averaging 72.9 ppg overall and 77.6 ppg in their last 5 games, while LBS has put up 74 ppg overall and 78.4 ppg in their last 5 games. Neither team has been playing much defense of late as the Gauchos have allowed 69.4 ppg in their last 5 games, while LBS has allowed 68.8 ppg in their last 5 games. This will be an uptempo game and with both of these offenses I just don't see how 145+ points aren't scored in this one.
 



5 POINT TEASER--- Michigan State -.5  &  Long Beach State -3 

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Nebraska +9.5 over PURDUE: Just too many points for a struggling Boliers squad to be laying. Nebraska is off a 23 point win vs Illinois so they may be playing with some confidence right now. Te Boilers have struggled on defense as they have allowed 76 ppg in their last games and that should allow the Huskers to keep this one close. 

CS Northridge +1 over UC Riverside: The Highlanders may be without a couple key players for tonight. neither team is playing well right now, but Northridge does have the game at home and they did beat Riverside of the road earlier in the year. They should do it again here. KEY TRENDS--- UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-21 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1997, while CS-NORTHRIDGE is 22-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997. 

1 UNIT PLAYS

Michigan State -5.5 over MINNESOTA: MICHIGAN ST is 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season, while MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Appalachian State -4 over THE CITADEL: Play against  Home teams as an underdog or pick (THE CITADEL) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, playing only their 3rd game in a week. This play is 25-7 the last 5 seasons. 

GO IRISH!!!! 

BOL jeff.

Thanks NL. BOL to you as well.

Good luck, I will follow you on the Irish

ON DA PHIGHTIN IRISH BUDDY!!!!!!!! AND A USF BULLZ.....CUSE WILL WIN BUT DEY NEVER SEEM TO BLOW ANYONE OUT HEY???

Good luck tonight..I saw your main thread and thought....oh shit we are on opposites but you are strictly a routing interest...Like your plays tonight!!!

Love that Ga St Over. GL tonight

BOL JEFF

BOL tonight Jeff. Opposite on Mich. St. but BOL.

Thanks very much Guys. BOL to you all as well.