Forums

Forums
Where sports bettors talk!

Doc's 11/30 CBB Wagers-Rankings & Match-Ups

CBB
Thread Starter Doc's 11/30 CBB Wagers-Rankings & Match-Ups
Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4861
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

CBB @ Pregame: 15-6, +8.4*

Back this year are Doc's CBB rankings and match-up pages. These are intended to help the handicapper as well as the tout on their quest to the promise land of sports betting.

The Rankings are in one tab while the match-ups for the day are in the other tab at the bottom of the page. For those that suck at Math or maybe don't have the patience for it I've listed a "recommended" tab to show which teams have the edge ATS using Doc's rankings. Wagers are on this page.

Here's the link for today's Rankings and Match-Ups.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VSwa_NjiFaFJjeYNQZrT3DsESuACpuzMzg1jCTdi3Us/edit#gid=2097227827

In the end the goal should be to beat the closing line. If you can do that in the long term you can win.

Wednesday 11/30/16

2* North Carolina -3
1* Florida International +10
1* Rutgers +17
1* UNC-Wilmington -5.5
1* USC -16.5
1* St Mary's -2.5
1* UNLV -9
1* Texas Southern +17

Added @ 5:35 PM EST

1* UC Riverside +25 

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 15 points or higher went 0-2 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 10 points or higher went 2-4 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 5 to 9.5 points went 7-3 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 1 to 4.5 points went 3-4 ATS

The SU record on 11/29 was 27-15

BOF

Doc


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

asiantiger
Joined: 02/24/2013
Posts: 377
Jr. College
Not Ranked

Doc, thanks for putting up. Is there somewhere I can go to show me how to read this?

daperdave
Joined: 03/07/2011
Posts: 686
All American
Not Ranked

Very interesting.

asiantiger
Joined: 02/24/2013
Posts: 377
Jr. College
Not Ranked

Doc, Thanks for the table. Is there some place I can go to understand this?

rollll_tide
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 2849
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

LOVE UNC tonight

Sharp bets. Money Management. Staying on top of the Market. Long term Winning. Roll tide.

Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4861
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

As PREEM hour approaches I'm adding a wager to the list for tonight. 

1* UC Riverside +25

Best Of Fortune

Doc

Docwatson

CBB @ Pregame: 15-6, +8.4*

Back this year are Doc's CBB rankings and match-up pages. These are intended to help the handicapper as well as the tout on their quest to the promise land of sports betting.

The Rankings are in one tab while the match-ups for the day are in the other tab at the bottom of the page. For those that suck at Math or maybe don't have the patience for it I've listed a "recommended" tab to show which teams have the edge ATS using Doc's rankings. Wagers are on this page.

Here's the link for today's Rankings and Match-Ups.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VSwa_NjiFaFJjeYNQZrT3DsESuACpuzMzg1jCTdi3Us/edit#gid=2097227827

In the end the goal should be to beat the closing line. If you can do that in the long term you can win.

Wednesday 11/30/16

2* North Carolina -3
1* Florida International +10
1* Rutgers +17
1* UNC-Wilmington -5.5
1* USC -16.5
1* St Mary's -2.5
1* UNLV -9
1* Texas Southern +17

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 15 points or higher went 0-2 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 10 points or higher went 2-4 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 5 to 9.5 points went 7-3 ATS

On 11/29 edges against the line that were 1 to 4.5 points went 3-4 ATS

The SU record on 11/29 was 27-15

BOF

Doc


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4861
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

asiantiger

Doc, Thanks for the table. Is there some place I can go to understand this?

Brother I'm here to help so let me see if this better explain what's going on with my table.  

For the matchups My rankings call for the team in colum 1 to by favored by the number to the right of it. To the right of that represents the team my rankings say they should be underdog in the contest. The next three columns will be the actual line put out at the time the page was updated. The final column list the team that has the edge against the line according to my rankings.

The rankings go in order of stregth with the highest number being the better number. 

Doc


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

JR ODonnell
Joined: 10/10/2009
Posts: 29103
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

nice work

It's what you do today that determines your future,not what you do tomorrow & "No man ever reached to excellence in any one art or profession without having passed through the slow and painful process of study and preparation 

  You want JR on your side. Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate! Most profit any Pro L2 NFL Seasons 57.6%

61% (39-25) over last 3 CFB Bowls ...  www.jrodonnell.com  

 JRO Train is rolling NOW!!

www.jrodonnell.com  68-50 3* run... + 32 units Go SIENA SAINTS CBB as the Free 

Special: BB Monthly-Rarely Offered$400.00 $175.00

FLASH SALE: Less Than Half Price.
CFB regular season is over. Vegas now turns to basketball. This custom subscription is rarely available - and NEVER for a lower price! Buying daily costs MORE THAN DOUBLE! Subscriptions are the only way to get every pick from JR O'Donnell - including Pregame's unique TV LEANS on all the biggest games. He's a great basketball choice. But you CANNOT WAIT. This is a FLASH SALE - which never lasts more than 48 hours

 

 

HairyWookie
Joined: 11/17/2011
Posts: 655
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Doc making a case to be next community capper. Beating the closer and cashing tickets.  Well done Doc! See you in Vegas in 6 weeks brother! DMCI

Swampass makes me happy.

I am NOT a Director of the Boards!

PS63
Joined: 12/10/2009
Posts: 976
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

That's a lot of work Doc. Sincerely appreciate the work and the explanation.

Rate This
  • 9 replies
  • 0 subscribers
  • Posted5 days ago