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Doc's Monday 11/28 Rankings Match-ups & Wagers: Get your CBB Edge here

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Thread Starter Doc's Monday 11/28 Rankings Match-ups & Wagers: Get your CBB Edge here
Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4870
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Top 200 Contributor

CBB @ Pregame: 11-6, +4.4*

The Rankings are in one tab while the match-ups for the day are in the other tab at the bottom of the page. A lot of games are still waiting on lines at the time of this posting this morning. For those that suck at Math or maybe don;t have the patience for it I've listed a "recommended" tab to show which teams has the edge ATS using Doc's rankings.

Here's the link for today's Rankings and Match-Ups. 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VSwa_NjiFaFJjeYNQZrT3DsESuACpuzMzg1jCTdi3Us/edit#gid=2097227827

In the end the goal should be to beat the closing line. If you can do that in the long term you can win.

Monday 11/28/16

1* Kentucky -15.5
1* Tulsa -1

Back this year are Doc's CBB rankings and match-up pages. These are intended to help the handicapper as well as the tout on their quest to the promise land of sports betting.

On 11/27 edges against the line that were 15 points or higher went 1-2 ATS

On 11/27 edges against the line that were 10 points or higher went 3-3 ATS

On 11/27 edges against the line that were 5 to 9.5 points went 8-3 ATS

On 11/27 edges against the line that were 1 to 4.5 points went 6-3 ATS

The SU record on 11/27 was 33-10

BOF

Doc

 


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4870
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

It does't look like anything will be coming in as PREEM hour looms. More than likely I'll beat the Heritage closer with my two wagers tonight. So far since being out of lockout I've beaten or tied the closer 88% of the time with my wagers.  

Very Important to beat the steam.

Good luck tonight Folks!

Doc


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

Toma888
Joined: 01/18/2014
Posts: 2360
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Top 500 Contributor

Very Much Appreciated......Thx!

Raiderman66
Joined: 09/21/2012
Posts: 5900
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Very interesting and definitely appreciated!  Thank you for posting.

chug1
Joined: 01/18/2013
Posts: 311
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Ok doc I may be dumb but I don't understand ur system. I do see the Kent and Tulsa picks which kicked but so I guess I'll just stay with what u put out until I understand ur system. Thx for the great work

HairyWookie
Joined: 11/17/2011
Posts: 655
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Doc Watson is next red hot capper people. Climb aboard the CAMPS train!!!

Swampass makes me happy.

I am NOT a Director of the Boards!

Docwatson
Joined: 01/25/2009
Posts: 4870
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

chug1

Ok doc I may be dumb but I don't understand ur system. I do see the Kent and Tulsa picks which kicked but so I guess I'll just stay with what u put out until I understand ur system. Thx for the great work

It's not a system Brother Chug1, and Ma'ma always said no one is dumb they're just in need of guidance.

These are power rankings that I use for handicapping CBB. I never bet against the ones that have an edge against the spread. Soemtimes my wagers are just a point or so away from having an edge and sometimes they're like Kentucky was as I got out in front of the 16.5 betting them at 15.5 while Tulsa 10.5 point ege when I bet them.  

The rankings for every D1 CBB team is on the "NCAA rankings tab". In case someone wants to see where a particular team is ranked on Doc's list. If you look on a certain "date" tab under the "recommended" column shows which team has the edge ATS at the time I updated. 

I follow every CBB game, and if anyone is wondering that's why the SU record is a higher amount of games than the ATS tally for the day. 

Doc


Judging by the ratio of expected loss to total amount bet, all betting strategies and money management systems are equally worthless. How much you bet and why should depend on the reason you are playing in the first place. Whatever form of money management you choose, once a bet is made you should always follow the best mathematical play. Finally, never pay for a betting strategy. As mentioned, they are all equally worthless, so you may as well use one of the free ones easily found on the Internet.

updated 9/30/2014

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