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NCAAB 2016-2017

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NCAAB 2016-2017
Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 140-137 50% (-4.87u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 135-127 (-0.28u)

___________________________________________________

Saturday 2-1 (+1.94u)

Sunday March 12th

Rhode Island ML -125 (1.25u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 141-137 50% (-3.87u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 136-127 (+0.72u)

___________________________________________________

Sunday: 1-0 (+1u)

Tuesday March 14th

Wake Forrest pk -109 (1.09u / 1u)

This looks like a matchup that favours Wake and their run and gun style of play.  K-State has struggled all year with high powered offensive teams.  The want to play a slow, grind it out half court game and lean on their defence to get the job done.  I don’t think they have anyone to stop Collins inside nor do I think they can score enough points to keep up with the Deacons. Wake also has much better shooters, from 3 and from the FT line.  The Deacons defence is awful but should be able to neutralize the pedestrian offence of K-State. Bottom line, I just don’t see K-State being able to outscore Wake here.  In a do or die game, I’ll take the team with the better shooters and the best player on the floor in Collins.  

Georgia Tech +3 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

The blueprint is laid out on to how to beat the Hoosiers.  If you make them play a grinder of a game in the half court where they have to defend and you have a good shot of winning.  Thats exactly what Georgia Tech brings to the table here tonight in the first round of the NIT. Indiana was actually supposed to host this game but they declined because there students are on spring break and they were worried about the lack of a crowd.  I would also presume that Crean didn’t want to be surrounded by the negative press and fan base that is upset with the teams performance.  Either way I really like the mindset of the Yellow Jackets who are really fired up for this game and opportunity to host an NIT game in a year where they were pegged to be awful.  On the other side I question the psyche of Indiana.  With so much turmoil surrounding their coach and program after a very disappointing season, I just don’t see them bringing their A game to the table tonight.  GT has been underpriced at home all season long, going 9-5 ATS and 3-10 to the Under which greatly favours them in this matchup.  GT has some really impressive home wins this year, and I think they can pick up another one.  I made this game a pk, so the +3 is solid value with GT.

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 142-138 50% (-3.96u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 137-128 (+0.63u)

___________________________________________________

Tuesday: 1-1 (-0.09u)

Heading across the boarder to Buffalo to watch the 1st and 2 rounds live!  Crazy time for me so no write-ups but have plays lined up until Friday.  Good luck and enjoy the tournament!

Wednesday March 15th

Rice -2 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Houston -8 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

Colorado / UCF Under 140 -108 (1.08u / 1u)

Thursday March 16th

Middle Tennessee St. ML-113 (1.13u / 1u)

East Tennessee State +10 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -108 (1.08u / 1u)

Friday March 17th

Oklahoma State +2.5 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

Rhode Island pk -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Dayton +6  -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 146-142 50% (-4.28u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit 141-132 (+0.3u)

Saturday March 18th

Iowa State ML -115 (1.15u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 146-143 50% (-5.43u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 141-133 (-0.85u)

___________________________________________________

Saturday: 0-1 (-1.15u)

Sunday March 19th

Rhode Island +5 -109 (1.09u / 1u)

South Carolina / Duke Under 146 -111 (1.11u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 147-144 50% (-5.54u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 142-134 (-0.96u)

___________________________________________________

Sunday: 1-1 (-0.11u)

Monday March 20th

Illinois State -4.5 -115 (1.15u / 1u)

Rice -4.5 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

Colorado State -4.5 -108 (1.08u / 1u)

sportsjunkie526
Joined: 10/19/2012
Posts: 163
College Recruit
Not Ranked

Goodluck Stallone, what a sick second half that Duke game was. I was surprised you weren't against Duke because I know u don't like them

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Hey Junkie, that was brutal! lol, just really didn't expect SC to be able to score the way they did.

NCAAB YTD: 147-147 50% (-8.88u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 142-137 (-4.29u)

___________________________________________________

Its been a tough year for me in NCAAB but I’ve learned a lot about myself and some valuable lessons in handicapping.  Probably pressed a bit too much in the last 2 months and it cost me.  Nonetheless, I’m going to finish out the season to the best of my ability, learn from my mistakes and continue to grind out winners.  Not going to let one bad stretch run discourage me, I know what I’m capable of, I’ve got my head back on straight, lets get it!

Thursday March 23rd

West Virginia +3 -105 (1.57u / 1.5u)

I have been on the fence on Gonzaga all season, while they do have some impressive out of conference wins, I was never fully convinced that they were a national title contender.  After watching them the first weekend of the tournament, my mind hasn’t really changed.  I’m still not fully convinced that they are the real deal.  They have shown to have long stretches of mental and physical lapses where they basically fall asleep.  The 1st half against SDSU and the 2H against Northwestern are prime examples of the Zags falling asleep at the wheel.  They can not afford to do that today against West Virginia who have continued to impress me throughout the season.  I was in Buffalo last weekend and saw this team in person and they were without a doubt the most impressive team that I saw that weekend (Wisconsin a close 2nd).  Seeing their ferocious defence live was so fun and I was extremely impressed.  I was also pleasantly surprised by their offence, especially in the half court, which I considered to be their only real weakness.  Javon Carter was neck and neck with Broson Koenig as the best player on the floor in Buffalo last weekend without question.  I don’t expect Gonzaga to handle this press well, plain and simple.  I thought Notre Dame would have little issues handling the press and expose West Virginia, but boy was I wrong.  The typically unflappable Matt Farrell looked lost at times and visually frustrated by the tactics and multiple presses that Huggins threw at them.  They really got them out of rhythm and Notre Dame struggled to score.  I see Notre Dame and Gonzaga as similar teams, with exception to the presence of the bigs inside for Gonzaga.  This should be a big help to the Zags as the Mountaineers don’t really have a great rim protector.  This is really my only concern in betting West V in this game.  I have great concerns about Gonzaga being able to the protect the ball against this press, the likes of which they NEVER see in the WCC.  As soon as Northwestern picked up full court pressure, they began to fumble the ball and untimely committed 14 turnovers.  If they have 14 turnovers against West Virginia its going to be very difficult to win this game.  I know the power rankings have this game priced correctly but I don’t think the market is properly accounting for the style or personnel matchup in this game.  I think West Virginia is the better team, stacked with upperclassmen who are used to playing in tight games, against top tier competition game in and game out.  The same can’t be said for the Zags who waltzed through the WCC this year.  WVU jumped out to a 10-0 lead against Notre Dame and never looked back, and I expect them to do the same here against Gonzaga.  Lets see how Gonzaga reacts when they get punched in the mouth, after being the big dog all season long.  Gimme the Mountaineers outright, but will gladly take the +3 as insurance.    

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 147-147 50% (-8.88u)

2 Unit: 3-4 (-2.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 142-137 (-4.29u)

___________________________________________________

Thursday West Virginia +3 - Push

Friday March 24th

No time for write-ups today.

Baylor -3 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Butler +7 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

pro212
Joined: 10/17/2008
Posts: 10431
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

Yes yes on Both GET$$$$$

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