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NCAAB 2016-2017

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NCAAB 2016-2017
Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 128-123 51% (-3.64u)

2 Unit: 2-3 (-2.4u)

1.5 Unit: 2-3 (-1.84u)

1 Unit: 125-117 (+0.6u)

___________________________________________________

Sunday: 1-3 (-2.27u)

Monday March 6th

Siena +2.5 -102 (1.02u / 1u)

Siena is the defacto home team for the MAAC Championship game tonight and I don’t think they should be catching points here.  Siena had a massive second half comeback against Monmouth lead by a hobbled Nico Clareth who came off the bench and shot 7/9 from 3 point land.  Siena is lead by Clareth and a quarter of Seniors who have a chance to win the MAAC title at home and punch their ticket to the big dance.  Clareth is a game time decision but I don’t see any scenario that he doesn’t play in this game.  Obviously having this game on their home floor is a major advantage that I don’t think the markets are fully grasping.  On the other side the Gales of Iona took care of Rider in the quarter finals and a red hot Saint Peters team in yesterdays Semi’s.  They benefitted from a Peacocks shooting slump in the second half and went on a 17-0 run to take the lead and they never looked back.  These teams split the previous 2 meeting this season, each winning on each others home floors.  The Gales love to run and gun and hoist up a lot of 3’s but struggle on the defensive end of the floor.  I think the Saints interior size and strength will be the difference in this matchup in a game where both teams should have tired legs.  That is a major issue for Iona who is a pure jump shooting and transition team.  Tired legs at the end of the game will greatly effect their ability to knock down shots.  Bottom line, this spread is wrong in my eyes, I made Sienna -2 in this game, so the +2.5 is great value.

Central Michigan +10 -102 (1.02u / 1u)

Kent State is the better team, but as we have seen in these conference tournaments, one or two players can carry a team to victory.  Although I do expect Kent to get the win here at home, I do not trust this team to win by margin.  The Flashes are an eye sore on offence at times, ranking near the bottom of the MAC in many offensive categories, including 3PT % where they are shooting a dismal 31.1% in conference.  The CMU defence is awful, but they can really fill it up on the offensive end.  They have a pair of 5-9 guards in Keene & Rayson who can score from anywhere on the court. Kent State has only won 2 conference game by double digits the entire season.  I just don’t see how Kent scores enough to cover this number.  CMU is never out of a game with Keenes ability to score and take over a game.  Keene dropped 41 in the first meeting @ Kent, in a 105-98 OT win.  This number is too high and there is some definite spread value on the Chips tonight in the 1st Round of the MAC Tournament.  

BAD924
Joined: 04/24/2011
Posts: 7284
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

Central Michigan game playing out just like posted...nice

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Thanks BAD, what a tough push that was!

NCAAB YTD: 129-123 51% (-2.64u)

2 Unit: 2-3 (-2.4u)

1.5 Unit: 2-3 (-1.84u)

1 Unit: 126-117 (+1.6u)

___________________________________________________

Monday: 1-0-1 (+1u)

Tuesday: No Plays

Wednesday March 8th

No time for write ups today, really like this card today.

Clemson +6.5 -110 (1.65u / 1.5u)

Penn State ML -125 (1.87u / 1.5u)

Rutgers +7.5 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Depaul +10 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 131-125 51% (-2.85u)

2 Unit: 2-3 (-2.4u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 127-118 (+1.54u)

___________________________________________________

Wednesday: 2-2 (-0.21u)

Lost both games yesterday by a combined 1.5 points, thats the kind of season its been.  On to Thursday with my biggest card of the season.

Thursday March 9th

714 Louisville -2 -110 (2.2u / 2u) *Best Bet

724 Iowa +2.5 -113 (1.13u / 1u)

725 Rutgers +7 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

734 Providence +2.5 -115 (1.15u / 1u)

768 Georgia ML -118 (1.18u / 1u)

772 Vanderbilt -2.5 -112 (1.12u / 1u)

762 UTEP +2 -120 (1.2u / 1u)

753 TCU +7 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

786 Fresno State -2 -113 (1.13u / 1u)

778 Utah -3 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

779 Colorado +8 -109 (1.09u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 136-131 51% (-5.58u)

2 Unit: 2-4 (-4.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 132-123 (+1.01u)

___________________________________________________

Thursday: 5-6 (-2.73u)

Friday March 10th

UTEP +9.5 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

Indiana +4.5 -107 1.07u / 1u)

Iowa State -4 -115 (1.15u  1u)

Vanderbilt +6.5 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

Dyker
Joined: 08/09/2013
Posts: 591
All American
Not Ranked

I would tread lightly with Malinskys picks.  I am 1 and 6 with him and I see you are running some of your bigger plays there.  The guy has great insight but he never pulls them to the ticket window.  Frustrating as hell.

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

I have great respect for Mr. Malinsky and never would I be on or off a play based on his recommendations.  My plays are my own, and if we happen to land on the same games at some point that is fine with me.  He provides a plethora of information and his insight is always appreciated by me and many others.  The night before games, I handicap them, make my own numbers, circle situations I like and if the lines come out the next day and warrant a play, I bet them.  By no means and I'm blindly tailing him, or anybody else. Best of luck to you moving forward Dyker.

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Adding:

Indiana +5.5 -110 (1.1u / 1u)

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

NCAAB YTD: 138-136 50% (-6.81u)

2 Unit: 2-4 (-4.6u)

1.5 Unit: 3-4 (-1.99u)

1 Unit: 134-126 (-0.22u)

___________________________________________________

Friday: 2-3 (-1.23u)

Saturday March 10th

Iowa State +3 -110 (2.2u / 2u) *Best Bet

Notre Dame +4.5 -106 (1.06u / 1u)

May add more later

Stallone
Joined: 08/30/2015
Posts: 789
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

Adding:

North Dakota ML -115 (1.15u / 1u)

Thats it for today

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