766 USC -5.0 vs 765 Oregon St.

Analysis:

Both teams are bubble teams in the deep Pac 12 but USC is in the more critical situation after having lost earlier this season at Oregon State and thus looks to avoid a season sweep which could tilt the scales against the Trojans with the Selection Committee. Also, USC must face Oregon over the weekend to end regular season play and the Ducks present much more of a challenge than do the Beavers. USC has lost 5 of its last 6 games but 4 of the 5 have been on the road with the lone home loss against a very strong Utah. Actually, USC has excelled at home this season, winning all 15 home games prior to that loss to the Utes in their most recent home game on Feburary 21. The Trojans are 11-5 ATS at home and all but one of their 15 home wins have been by 7 points or more including 4 double digit home conference wins. Oregon State is 1-6 SU in Pac 12 road games with 5 of the losses by double digits. My models support a win by from 8 to 12 points tonight by the Trojans as they get back on track on what has been a very friendly home court all season.