It does scare me a bit that these 2 teams score easily but I agree with the analysis d_roos. I have this game rated at 160 so the under is definitely the play here. The only downside to this play is that if Monmouth goes up 8-10 with under 2 to play, will Fairfield keep playing the dumb foul game? Because Monmouth shoots well from the line so the nonsense of how college coaches keep playing the foul game down almost double digits may come into play here.
Good luck with your play. I think you are on the right side and may have to sweat the dumb late game schenanigans.