Middle Tennessee +5 vs. Toledo
Toledo has been fairly impressive thus far posting some nice wins lately which is why I think we are seeing this inflated line. They lost three high level starters from last year and I believe there are still going to be some early season struggles for them as they learn to adjust. They do still have a few good remaining players but I just don't think there is enough of a talent discrepancy between these teams to justify the 5 point spread. Take Middle Tennessee.