Im on UCONN today, pick registered real strong. Here is my write up for the saturdy edge:
UConn +1.5
The UConn Huskies face a ranked 23-5 SMU team at home today. This matchup is exactly two weeks since the SMU mustangs beat UConn by 18 points at home in the last matchup between these two teams. SMU has won seven straight road games and their last five overall. UConn is one in four ATS in their last five games. So why do I like UConn today? UConn needs a quality win to bolster their resume for the tournament. Currently they are on the outside looking in. A win today and one of their next two could put them on the bubble and give them a chance to make it to the big dance. In addition SMU only shots 65% at the free throw line on the road and in the 50’s their last two road games. UConn on the other hand is not the best FT shooting team but averages just under 70% from the stripe at home.
The line opened with SMU as a 1 point favorite, it has been bet up to 1.5 with 77% of bets coming in on the Mustangs. The last time these teams meet SMU was a 7 point favorite at home. Home court advantage is usually worth 2-3 points in college basketball and Vegas has decided to open todays line very low. That tells me that the oddsmakers consider UConn a strong play today and encouraging action on the ranked road favorite SMU. I’ll be happy to take a scrppy, must win team at home in UConn.
Lets crack em!
CCon the Sharp Contrarian