I went just 2-2 last night, but did win my top play on the Under in the Oregon State/ Arizona game. Looking for a big day today. Writeups for top plays only. BOL everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
(626) Purdue/ Northwestern Under 130: Just can't see this as a high scoring game. Northwestern really likes to slow the pace and that is just how the the Boliermakers have played in Big 10 play so far. They do come off a game vs high scoring Indiana that produced 150 points, but that is not the norm in big 10 play for this team as we note that in their previous 6 conference games there has been an average of just 124.7 ppg being scored, with just 1 of those games scoring more than 130 points. Northwestern is not a team that will run, especially on their home floor. They just don't have enough offense to run with teams. Both teams are poor from long range and while Northwestern can hit their FTs, Purdue can not. The Under is 7-3 in Purdue's last 10 vs the Big 10 and 10-2-1 in Northwestern's last 13 played on Saturdays. Lower 120s here.
(612) Vanderbilt/ Texas A&M Under 128: Im not even sure this game will reach the 120s at all. This game features two slow down offensive teams with limited scoring, while both play solid defense. Vanderbilt comes in averaging just 63.3 ppg in SEC play (Regulation Only) and just 62.2 ppg on the road so far. Texas A&M has played very good defense this year, especially at home where they have allowed just 61.9 ppg, while in their last 4 games they have given up just 59 ppg. The Aggies do average 73.3 ppg at home for the year, but just 63 ppg (Reg) in their 3 SEC home games thus far and the Vandy defense has been solid on the road where they have allowed just 65.7 ppg on 41.4% shooting. The Under is 10-2-1 in Vandy's last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. That should continue here as we get a game played in the 50s.
(600) St Louis/ UMass Under 129.5: UMass has been playing at a much slower pace this year than in years past and that also haven't been scoring much than in years past. The Minutemen have averaged just 66 ppg on the road and 62 ppg in their last 5 games. Very hard to see them putting up much more than that vs a St Louis team that allows just 62.6 ppg. The Billikens are also a team that plays very slow and they come in struggling to score, averaging just 59.6 ppg in their last 5 games and they have scored just 61.5 ppg at home for the year. UMass has struggled on the road defensively, but that should not be the case vs this offense. Botyh teams shoot poorly, especially from long range and at the charity stripe and in a low possession game I just wouldn't expect either team to reach 65 points in this one.
(697) UCLA/ Colorado Over 134: Colorado has been a mystery at times this year for me as they seem to be a slow down team, but of late they have really upped the their tempo of play and that will work just fine for a UCLA squad that has been slowed down by teams of late and have struggled scoring. Still UCLA averages 82.5 ppg at home, while Colorado has struggled defensively on the road, allowing 71.5 ppg in Pac-12 road games and 71.9 ppg in their road games overall. UCLA has allowed 67.8 ppg and should allow an improving Colorado offense to get their fair share of points in this one. I can see this one hitting at least 140 points.
BEST OF THE REST
(536) Boston College/ Clemson Under 119
(530) Wisconsin/ Iowa Under 130
(546) St Joes/ Davidson Under 140
8 Point Teaser: Tennessee -.5 & Indiana State -2 & Kansas State +19.5
(552) South Florida Under 123
(606) Louisville/ North Carolina Under 146 (Push)
(716) Denver/ South Dakota State Under 130
(678) OKLAHOMA STATE -2.5 over Oklahoma
(525) Duke/ Virginia Over 126
(692) Memphis/ Gonzaga Under 134
(681) San Francisco +3 over SAN DIEGO
(662) Southern Illinois/ Missouri State Under 118.5
CBB 2014
Top Plays Overall 62-52-1 (+12.0 Units)... 4 Unit 0-2-0 (-8.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 58-46-0 (+22.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 114-115-2 (-25.0 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 69-81-1 (-28.0 Units)