It has been a struggle in CBB this week for me, but I did get a little back last night with a win on the Under in VCU/ St Louis Game. I hope to build off of that today. Writeups for Top Plays only. BOL everyone. I am still looking at 1 more play.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Kansas State/ Oklahoma State Under 123: Defense should be the name of this game. Oklahoma State allowed 82 points at Oklahoma a week ago, but in their other 6 Big 12 games they have allowed just 56.6 ppg (Regulation Only). The Wildcats also know a few things about defense as well. Yes they allowed 77 in their last game, but that was on the road and vs an Iowa State team that is one of the best offensive squads in the nation. In their other 5 Big 12 games the Cats have allowed just 56.2 ppg (Regulation) and have allowed just 58.8 ppg at home for the year. Neither team has shot well in Big 12, especially from long range and with great defensive play from both teams its hard for me to see this one in the 120s at all.
Syracuse/ Miami Under 128: The Cuse are not a good offensive team and they are a poor shooting team, especially from long range and at the charity stripe, but what they do do well is play defense as they have allowed just 59.6 ppg overall and 55.6 ppg at home. Miami has struggled on defense on the road and have allowed 74.5 in their two ACC road games, but that was vs Duke and Notre Dame and Syracuse does not play like either of those teams on offense. They Slow the pace and rely on their defense to win games. We also note that the Cuse zone is designed to slow offenses down and use most of the clock. I fully expect the Cuse to keep the pace down here, which is also something that is Ok with Miami. The two meetings last year produced just 116 and 93 points and I expect this one to be played under 120 points as well. (Push)
Memphis/ Tulane Under 130.5: Memphis has had troubles scoring on the year, where they have averaged just 58.7 ppg and I don't see that number improving a whole lot in this one vs a Tulane squad that has allowed just 61.8 ppg at home for the year. Tulane is not a strong offensive team and they really look to slow the pace when they have the ball, so I won't expect them to get a whole lot vs a Memphis team that has allowed just 63 ppg on the road. Both teams will slow the pace here and we note that Tulane's 3 AAC home games this year have averaged just 110 ppg in regulation and just 115 ppg including the OT points. Both teams are poor from long range and at the charity stripe, so don't expect extra points from those two areas on the floor. I look for this one to be played in the lower 120s.
Colorado/ Washington State Under 137: I do not see this one being that high scoring at all. Washington State has upped their pace of play his year and it helped vs Oregon in which they scored 108 points in OT, but in their other 5 Pac-12 games they have averaged just 63.2 ppg and they have scored just 63.3 ppg overall on the road this year. That isn't likely to improve vs a Colorado team that grinds it out on offense and allows just 59.3 ppg at home. Colorado does score 73 ppg at home, but on 47.7% which indicates that the just use the clock and search for that good shot and they will use most of the clock for sure. This team does not want to run at all and I don't see Washington State getting them into that kind of game, especially on their own home floor and in their Pac-13 games which have averaged just 127 ppg this year so far. The under is 40-18 in Colorado's last 58 vs the Pac-12 and 17-6 in their last 23 overall. Both trends should continue here.
Arizona State/ Stanford Under 137: (Added) Stanford has played at a bit of a faster pace this year, but i feel this ASU defense can slow them Down here. ASU has played good defense overall this year and on the road they have allowed just 63.5 ppg so far, including just 52.7 ppg in their last 3 Pac-12 road games. They even held Oregon to just 59 points on the Ducks home floor. This team is playing good defense right now. Their Offense has not been all that good on the road, where they have averaged just 62.2 ppg, while Stanford has allowed just 58.3 ppg on their home floor. I really look for Stanford to lock it down defensively after allowing 89 points to Arizona on Thursday night. The Under is 26-12-1 in ASU's last 39 games off a SU win and 7-2 in Stanford's last 9 home games. I say this one stays in the 120s.
BEST OF THE REST
8 Point Teaser: Kentucky -4.5 & Iowa +9.5 & Kansas +11
TENNESSEE -4 over Texas A&M
Arkansas/ Missouri Under 147
Illinois/ Minnesota Under 139.5
Michigan State -2 over NEBRASKA
Southern Illinois/ Evansville Under 123
Eastern Michigan/ Central Michigan Under 141
Wisconsin/ Michigan Under 121
Utah State/ UNLV Under 126
8 Point Teaser: San Diego State +10 & St Mary's +5.5 & Arizona -5.5
Arizona/ California Under 128.5
CBB 2014
Top Plays Overall 54-46-1 (+7.8 Units)... 4 Unit 0-2-0 (-8.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 50-40-0 (+18.4 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 93-94-2 (-20.8 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 61-65-1 (-18.8 Units)