NCAA Tournament Statistics Primer PART I

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NCAA Tournament Statistics Primer PART I

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  • Capping Deep & Hard Gms/Tms MATCH-UPS:
    Rd 1 of NCAA / CBI / CIT / NIT
    We've compiled some LISTS which may be of interest,
    So thought I'd just drop in a few lists to start us off, FYI.
    Just a Few Lists / Preperation

    Tourney Tms Final Reg Season Offensive Rankings
    TOP RATED TMS OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
    (Best 'Offensive Pts Per Possession' Tms in Tourney)
    1. DUKE 1.215
    2. KANSAS 1.214
    3. CALIFORNIA 1.21
    4. NOTRE DAME 1.198
    5. BAYLOR 1.196
    6. MARYLAND 1.191
    7. OHIO STATE 1.19
    8. VILLANOVA 1.187
    9. SYRACUSE 1.179
    10. GEORGETOWN 1.176

    LOWEST-RATED OFF EFF Tourney Tms
    (Worst 'O-PPP' Tms, Field of 65;
    5 Tms avg LESS than 1 'PPP')
    309. Winthrop 0.904
    307. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.904
    209. California-Santa Barbara 0.986
    200. Robert Morris 0.989
    196. East Tennessee State 0.99

    Tourney Tms Final Reg Season Def Rankings

    TOP RATED TMS DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
    (Best Def 'Pts-Per-Possession' Tms in Tourney)
    1. FLORIDA STATE 0.839
    3. TEMPLE 0.857
    4. DUKE 0.859
    5. KANSAS 0.861
    6. PURDUE 0.864
    7. WISCONSIN 0.873 Tie
    7. TENNESSEE 0.873 Tie
    9. CLEMSON 0.877 Tie
    9. KENTUCKY 0.877 Tie

    LOW-RATED DEF EFFICIENCY TOURNEY TMS
    Lowest 'D-PPP':
    (8 Tms AVG 'D' ABOVE 1/Per/Pos Allowed):
    242. Lehigh 1.051
    222. New Mexico State 1.041
    212. Oakland 1.031
    190. Morgan State 1.02
    180. North Texas 1.017
    178. Sam Houston State 1.016
    168. Houston 1.01
    154. Robert Morris 1.003

    PACE
    Quickest 5 Tourney Tms

    (w/D-1 Final Reg Season Tempo Rank)
    #10 WASHINGTON, 73.2 Poss/Gm
    #11 VILLNAOVA, 72.9 Poss/Gm
    #12 BRIGHAM YOUNG, 72.8 Poss/Gm
    #14 TEXAS, 72.7 Poss/Gm
    #20 HOUSTON, 72.1 Poss/Gm

    11 Add'l Up-Tempo Tourney Tms that 
    FINISHED w/AVG of 70 or MORE Poss/Gm

    (D-1 Final Reg Season Tempo Rank)
    #23 New Mexico State, 71.8 Poss/Gm
    #31 Kansas State, 71.1 Poss/Gm
    #37 Syracuse, 70.7 Poss/Gm T
    #37 Xavier, 70.7 Poss/Gm T
    #40 Missouri, 70.5 Poss/Gm
    #44 Wake Forest, 70.3 Poss/Gm *Tie
    #44 Oakland, 70.3 Poss/Gm *Tie
    #51 Maryland, 70.2 Poss/Gm
    #52 Siena, 70.1 Poss/Gm *Tie
    #52 Lehigh, 70.1 Poss/Gm *Tie
    #56 Sam Houston State, 70 Poss/Gm

    PACE
    15 Slowest Tourney Tms
    (Bottom Third D-1 PACE)

    ONE TM AVG UNDER 60 Poss/Gm:
    #342 NORTHERN IOWA, 59.9 Poss/Gm
    (6th Most Deliberate, D-1)
     
    #340 Wisconsin, 60.2 Poss/Gm
    #336 Temple, 61.2 Poss/Gm
    #332 Utah State, 61.5 Poss/Gm
    #331 Pittsburgh, 61.9 Poss/Gm
    #312 West Virginia, 63.4 Poss/Gm
    #306 Montana, 63.7 Poss/Gm T
    #306 Notre Dame, 63.7 Poss/Gm T
    #303 Marquette, 63.8 Poss/Gm 
    #298 Old Dominion, 64.1 Poss/Gm T
    #294 Richmond, 64.1 Poss/Gm T
    #280 San Diego State, 64.6 Poss/Gm
    #272 Wofford, 65.1 Poss/Gm
    #269 Butler, 65.2 Poss/Gm
    #258 Florida, 65.4 Poss/Gm

    IF these prove to be at all helpful,
    we'll get the following in tomorrow:

    SHOOTING EFFICIENCY, i.e.,
    STRAIGHT EFFICIENCY %;s:
    eFG% | 3% | FT% (Off & Def)

    THEN, of course, % Shot Selection, ect
    3PA/FGA (Off & Def)
    FTA/FGA (Off & Def)

    THEN, "Intangibles"
    (What I like to call, 'Capping-Related' items w/in the infamous "4 Factors")
    PF, Committed & Drawn
    Asst/T-Over Ratio, Allowed & Obtained
    O-Rebounds, Allowed & Obtained

    ATS & Over/Under Rankings 
    Rec in Blowouts
    Rec in Close Gms
    Streaks
    Hot Tms
    Cold Tms

    Lastly, Personnel Roster Comparisons:
    AVG's Match-ups
    SIZE
    EXP
    BENCH
    INJ
    +/- POST Pos
    +/- BACKCOURT Pos

    Obviously, these #'s can ALL be obtained in some fashion at BB-State,
    &/or any number of stat sites out there.

    Rarely receive feedback here one way or another
    YET, these lists are an essential element of capping preparation
    (on this end anyway)

    More College Hoops underway in a few hrs!
    Thanks, Guys

    "Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing"
    Sleep? Overrated

    Founder: Way-Out-West, LLC ™
    INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS

    BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868
    "Always a Great Day to be a Beaver"

  • Very nice, Steve ... I have bookmarked for later reference.

  • Great to see you, pal...& THANKS....appreciate your PIX, Too.  Still in prelim stages of fourmulating a Card from all these gms.  Heard so many guys say, 'So hard w/so many gms'  I just adamantly disagree, of course....lot fewer gms than a typical Sat in Reg Season!  This format, w/so many compelling CIT/NIT/CBI Gms to fill out the week is ideal.  A Grinders' dream - to have one solid day to regroup, assess the schedule & lines, & PLOT the KILL STRATEGY for pounding out UNITS & PROFITS.   

     Have a GREAT $$ MARCH, Simon...I know you will be swimming in BLACK NUMBERS!   

    (I'd heard many times during yr that CBI & CIT were on their way out - damn glad we have em, since we have these profitable gms to cap, and I GET BONUS GAME(S)!  Just picked up my Tix for Tomorrow Night, Boston Terriers at Oregon State Beavers, 7:00 PM, PDT, Wed.  Can't wait.  Announcement during yesterday Ore St CBI Press Luncheon that 'IF ORE ST WINS, THEY WILL HOST Winner of Morehead State at Colorado State Gm, on MON NIGHT at Gill.  This ins't what Craig Robinson wanted to hear!  The Beavers' were successful last year - as cliche as it sounds - in taking each gm as it came accross; & again, FINALS WK here, ect.  I am leaning Boston +7.5, would definately have play if line was +9....FWIW!)

    "Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing"
    Sleep? Overrated

    Founder: Way-Out-West, LLC ™
    INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS

    BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868
    "Always a Great Day to be a Beaver"

  • Stevebeav

    Great to see you, pal...& THANKS....appreciate your PIX, Too.  Still in prelim stages of fourmulating a Card from all these gms.  Heard so many guys say, 'So hard w/so many gms'  I just adamantly disagree, of course....lot fewer gms than a typical Sat in Reg Season!  This format, w/so many compelling CIT/NIT/CBI Gms to fill out the week is ideal.  A Grinders' dream - to have one solid day to regroup, assess the schedule & lines, & PLOT the KILL STRATEGY for pounding out UNITS & PROFITS.

    I've. Always preferred this layout at this time of the years. As you said Steve it's perfect for a Grinders Market. Sixteen games in one day is beautiful for just that.

    Thanks for posting the information as well. O-PPP is a huge indicator at how good a team really is. Just to give an idea I suggest looking up past Champions and finding what their ranking was that year in this category.

    Peace

    Doc

    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! @Swandawg 
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  •   I hereby recognize this post for a "Gold Star" per the Pregame Constitution's goal of informing & entertaining our community.

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