A-10 Payback Game For Friday(Added Plays)

10 Units

Xavier -2(BH)

I've looked at that game several times and tried to force myself in the "payback" angle, if you will. Dayton, over the years, just seems to match up well with Xavier. Not sure if I'll make a play on this one, it looks too easy and for your sake I hope it is! GL, my friend.

As you can tell from the name, I'm a UD grad. I would be VERY, VERY careful of Xavier in this spot tonight. Trust me, UD has let me down more than you know this year as the preseason pick to win the A-10, but this line stinks bad! You're talking about the number one seed in the tournament only favored by 3 over a team that had to play in to get to AC. In the two games this year, UD had a legitimate shot to win in Cincy and UD absolutely dismantled X at UD three weeks ago. 

Keep another thing in mind; these teams REALLY do not like each other and know each other very well. X and Dayton is a very heated rivalry that has been even more intense the last several years with a couple of pregame skirmishes, etc.

The way I see it (and I can't believe I'm saying this), UD has a legit shot to still go dancing as long as they can at least make the conference final. X is already in the field. I just think motivation with a pretty good team goes a long way in March....Not sure I'm even going to bet the game, but if I did, UD would be the only side I would be playing.

Hope this helps....

Adding

3 Units Each

Temple -9.5

St. Louis +3.5

DUKE BLUE DEVILS -17

Notre Dame(I am guessing this will be a pick'em)

Ohio Bobcats -Whatever

Northwestern +Whatever

yeah Dave, I just think Xavier needs to win this tourney or at least a couple of games to solidify a spot in the NCAA Tourney.  They will be focused and motivated.  I love the way X plays.  Very athletic!!

FWIW I really like St. Louis and am writing a dissertation as we speak. That wager may be in the minority but I really believe it's the right side.

LOVE St. Louis myself Dave.  I was expecting this to be St. Louis minus points.  When I saw St. Louis getting points I jumped on it right away.  Who is Rhode Island to be laying points to anyone right now?

Temple won last seven games, covered last four; they won 73-55 (-7) in Olean Feb 17, holding St Bonaventure to 1-8 from arc. Owls are 10-3 vs spread an A-14 favorite this season. Bonnies made 9-12 from arc in win over Duquesne Tuesday, their fifth win in last six games; they're 3-5 vs spread in last eight games as dog. Crowd edge in AC goes to Temple.

Rhode Island (-2.5) lost 62-57 at Saint Louis Feb 17, shooting 5-13 on foul line, 35.5% from floor in game they led 30-24 at half. Rams are 3-5 in last eight games, 3-7 vs spread in last eight games as an A-14 favorite. Billikens won eight of last their ten games, with six wins by five or less points; they covered seven of last eight games as the underdog.

Dayton (-3.5) pounded Xavier 90-65 Feb 6, shooting 56% from floor in game with a 40-23 rebounding edge; they lost first meeting 78-74 (+5) at Xavier, as Musketeers were 10-19 from arc. Dayton is 3-5 in last eight games, is 2-4 vs spread this season as an underdog. Xavier won last six games, covering eight of last ten games when they're favored.

Notre Dame won last six games, playing better defense- they beat West Virginia 70-68 at home (+3) Jan 9, racing to 32-12 lead, then holding on after late Mountaineer charge. West Virginia won six of last seven games; their last two games were decided by total of five points- they're 9-5 in this event last five years. Irish playing third day in row, WV second.

Ohio is 9-1 vs spread in last ten games; they KO'd top-seeded Kent last night. Bobcats split with Miami this year, losing 79-67 at Miami (+3) in first meeting, winning rematch 70-68 (-4.5) Feb 24. Miami won its last two games after 4-game, with both wins vs Buffalo- they led by 11 at half last night, but still played four of their starters 33+ minutes.

Virginia is 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as underdog; they lost 67-49 at home to Duke (+10) 12 days ago, shooting 31.4% from floor. Cavaliers snapped 9-game skid yesterday, covering for first time in last six tries as an underdog. Duke won nine of ten games since Georgetown upset; they are 7-3-1 vs spread in its last eleven games as an ACC favorite.

ST BONAVENTURE (15 - 15) vs. TEMPLE (26 - 5) - 3/12/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
TEMPLE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 3-0 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RHODE ISLAND (22 - 8) vs. SAINT LOUIS (20 - 10) - 3/12/2010, 2:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RHODE ISLAND is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
RHODE ISLAND is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
RHODE ISLAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
RHODE ISLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 3-0 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 2-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DAYTON (20 - 11) vs. XAVIER (23 - 7) - 3/12/2010, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
XAVIER is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
XAVIER is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
XAVIER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 77-49 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAYTON is 4-3 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 5-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 VIRGINIA (14 - 15) vs. DUKE (26 - 5) - 3/12/2010, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 141-99 ATS (+32.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 4-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons