I just started drinking an hour ago...so I thought I'd make a pick before I got worse. This slate tonight stinks for sure....anyway I'm going to take a stab at Virgina-Clev St...
VA is 24-10 at home ATS the last 3 yrs. I should just bet them blindly and win 70% of the time at home. CST is a poor shooting team. And on the road they are pi..well let's just say a urine poor shooting team..and their FT shooting gets worse also.. Not a good combo.
Now VA hasn't played in a while. Common thinking is they will come out rusty....sometimes that's true, but, not in this case I feel. CST is going to want to slow it down, that's who VA practices against everyday. A slow down offense. VA will be chomping at the bit to get after someone other than a teammate.
I also feel some of this line is attributed to the Savannah St game for Clev St and Louisville and Savannah. Cleve St lost at Louisville 33-45. They lost at Savannah St 83-87 in OT 4 days earlier. Now there is no doubt in my mind, Louisville said we waxed Savannah St 87-26 and Cleve St had to go into OT with them. We will walk through Cleveland St....they got by them at home.
Virginia doesn't make that mistake bc the coach has already pointed that out every single day since their last game.
Give me the rested team who covers 70% of the time at home vs a poor shooting road team who may be overvalued bc of a fluke game vs LV.....Give me Virginia -17 game and -9 half.
Best of luck guys...