Monday CBB 2/8/2010: Winner

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Monday CBB 2/8/2010: Winner

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  • CBB 2010: 86-70, +13.7*

    NBA 2010: 34-42, -28.7*

    MLB 2009 Playoffs: 8-3, +10.3*

    CFL 2009: 25-16, +21.6*

    CFB 2009: 55-52, +5.7*

    NFL 2009: 42-39, +7.85*


    Total: 248-220, +30.45*


    CBB:


    Okay a 1-1 day winning once again in CBB, but losing the SB play on the Colts for a -1.3 unit day. Even though the SB was a loser for me I still had a profitable football season winning in the CFL, CFB, and the NFL. So to me it was just another play yesterday. Now we move to Monday, and I'll worry about football in July when the CFL starts back up. Let's see if I can;t keep this basketball winning streak alive. Yesterday's win on Canisius put me 21-6-2 ATS the L/8 days, and 16-1-2 ATS the L/19 wagers in basketball. Winning streaks are always fun!!

     


    My numbers in CBB when looking at the games that had an edge of four points or more in both sets went 2-0 on Sunday. That now makes the overall mark sit at 235-211, 52.6% ATS.


    Here are my CBB numbers Monday. Once again looking for line edges in both sets of numbers to be four or more. If a team has a (-) it means my numbers have that team will “win” by that amount. If the team has a (+) it means that team by my numbers will “lose” by that amount.

    GL

    Doc

     

    The Line

    SET 1
    SET 2
    VILL +5.0 at WVA -------
    VILL +0.5 ------- VILL -1
    LOY +20.0 at BUTLER -------
    BUTLER -7.5 ------- LOY +9
    ILLCHI +11.0 at VALPAR -------
    VALPAR -17 ------- ILLCHI +5.5
    LATEC +1.5 at NMST -------
    LATEC -5 ------- LATEC -2
    KAN -1.5 at TEXAS -------
    KAN +1.5 ------- KAN -8
    APPAL -5.0 at GRENSB -------
    APPAL -10 ------- APPAL -17
    WCAR -7.5 at ELON -------
    WCAR -9 ------- WCAR -14
    CIT +7.0 at CHARLE -------
    CIT +3.5 ------- CIT +8
    FAIR +12.0 at SIENA -------
    FAIR +5 ------- FAIR +6
    NIAG -1.5 at RIDER -------
    NIAG -4 ------- NIAG -3
    JMAD -1.0 at TOWSON -------
    JMAD -5 ------- JMAD -PK
    NCWILM +3.0 at DEL -------
    NCWILM -3.5 ------- NCWILM +2

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  • Doc..looks like you have 4 that jump out. Hope we cash you've been hot even if the Colts lost yesterday. Glad I had the under to cover the Colts. Juice only. Simon likes C of C and LA.TEC. Dfresh made a good point on the LA.TEC/NMST. game with NMST getting a key player back Do your numbers reflect the player coming back? Thx for all your help.

    potteryman ron
  • Ron Bucci

    Doc..looks like you have 4 that jump out. Hope we cash you've been hot even if the Colts lost yesterday. Glad I had the under to cover the Colts. Juice only. Simon likes C of C and LA.TEC. Dfresh made a good point on the LA.TEC/NMST. game with NMST getting a key player back Do your numbers reflect the player coming back? Thx for all your help.

    Your Welcome Ron,

    To answer your question "No" they are based on mostly season long stuff as a player missing or coming back is very hard to keep up with especially in CBB. Plus a lot of teams will pick up the slack from other players for a while anyway. No use in trying to predict something that I can't get a true handel on when working with these numbers.

    Best of Fortune

    Doc

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  • CBB:

    2* Fairfield +11.5

    This one may stir some feathers since Fairfield's second best scorer Yorel Hawkins is out for the season. This is the second consecutive game he has missed, and also missed the first three of the season. Fairfield is 3-1 without him bu the way. Also interesting to note that in the first meeting between these two Hawkins had 20 points, and now I can really hear it. WTF Doc has you lost yo damn mind Bubba?? Well no because Evanovich & A. Johnson are solid Senior leaders on this team, and throw in Needham a solid Sophomore and this team is still a competitive one. Then you have the reverse line movement going on when comparing the line to the betting percentages. It opened at 13 and now dropped to 11.5.

    I have the game with Siena winning by 5 to 6 points, and that's a 6.5 to 5.5 point line edge. The road team is 8-2 ATS the L/10 in the series, and that includes a 3-1 spread record for Fairfield at Siena with a line of 9.5 and higher. Comparing the most recent common opponent line I looked to when both played at Marist. In that game Fairfield was laying 11.5 & Siena was laying 19 points. Now that's a difference of 7.5 points which is four points under what the oddsmakers have for this one. Looking at the most recent common opponent when both played at home I found Canisius. In that game Fairfield was -8, and Siena was -16.5 at home verses Canisius. That's an 8.5 point line difference and three point line edge here tonight.

    So away we go with another play in the MAAC.

    GL

    Doc

    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! @Swandawg 
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  • Didn't stir my feathers, Doc. I posted a thread with a play on Fairfield as well. GL to us. Maybe it'll be MH's Triple Star and we'll look brilliant----unless of course Sienna decides to play forty minutes!

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    @Dave_Essler

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  • Docwatson

    CBB:

    2* Fairfield +11.5

    This one may stir some feathers since Fairfield's second best scorer Yorel Hawkins is out for the season. This is the second consecutive game he has missed, and also missed the first three of the season. Fairfield is 3-1 without him bu the way. Also interesting to note that in the first meeting between these two Hawkins had 20 points, and now I can really hear it. WTF Doc has you lost yo damn mind Bubba?? Well no because Evanovich & A. Johnson are solid Senior leaders on this team, and throw in Needham a solid Sophomore and this team is still a competitive one. Then you have the reverse line movement going on when comparing the line to the betting percentages. It opened at 13 and now dropped to 11.5.

    I have the game with Siena winning by 5 to 6 points, and that's a 6.5 to 5.5 point line edge. The road team is 8-2 ATS the L/10 in the series, and that includes a 3-1 spread record for Fairfield at Siena with a line of 9.5 and higher. Comparing the most recent common opponent line I looked to when both played at Marist. In that game Fairfield was laying 11.5 & Siena was laying 19 points. Now that's a difference of 7.5 points which is four points under what the oddsmakers have for this one. Looking at the most recent common opponent when both played at home I found Canisius. In that game Fairfield was -8, and Siena was -16.5 at home verses Canisius. That's an 8.5 point line difference and three point line edge here tonight.

    So away we go with another play in the MAAC.

    GL

    Doc

    I like it Doc, Looked at it last night and thought Hmmm. looks tough. Thanks for all your daily work and effort.
    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! CBB '10-'11 (5-11) MLB 2011 45-43-2
  • davessler

    Didn't stir my feathers, Doc. I posted a thread with a play on Fairfield as well. GL to us. Maybe it'll be MH's Triple Star and we'll look brilliant----unless of course Sienna decides to play forty minutes!

    Cool deal Dave. I'll check it out Buddy.

    Doc

    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! @Swandawg 
    on Twitter
  • cbelongia
    Docwatson

    CBB:

    2* Fairfield +11.5

    This one may stir some feathers since Fairfield's second best scorer Yorel Hawkins is out for the season. This is the second consecutive game he has missed, and also missed the first three of the season. Fairfield is 3-1 without him bu the way. Also interesting to note that in the first meeting between these two Hawkins had 20 points, and now I can really hear it. WTF Doc has you lost yo damn mind Bubba?? Well no because Evanovich & A. Johnson are solid Senior leaders on this team, and throw in Needham a solid Sophomore and this team is still a competitive one. Then you have the reverse line movement going on when comparing the line to the betting percentages. It opened at 13 and now dropped to 11.5.

    I have the game with Siena winning by 5 to 6 points, and that's a 6.5 to 5.5 point line edge. The road team is 8-2 ATS the L/10 in the series, and that includes a 3-1 spread record for Fairfield at Siena with a line of 9.5 and higher. Comparing the most recent common opponent line I looked to when both played at Marist. In that game Fairfield was laying 11.5 & Siena was laying 19 points. Now that's a difference of 7.5 points which is four points under what the oddsmakers have for this one. Looking at the most recent common opponent when both played at home I found Canisius. In that game Fairfield was -8, and Siena was -16.5 at home verses Canisius. That's an 8.5 point line difference and three point line edge here tonight.

    So away we go with another play in the MAAC.

    GL

    Doc

    I like it Doc, Looked at it last night and thought Hmmm. looks tough. Thanks for all your daily work and effort.

    Yeah it is tough CBE, and that's another reason to like it IMO. There was 5,500 bets on this thing with 65% on Siena when I started the write up and since then it's 7,100 with 73% on them now yet no line movement in fact Carib dropped it to eleven. So we shall see as those things aren't always a way to judge a game, but for mr it helps to know what's going on with things like that.

    Peace

    Doc 

    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! @Swandawg 
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  • We are looking like Pros at the moment, Doc.

    SPECIAL OFFER:
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    @Dave_Essler

    Pregame NFL Hilton Winner (63%)

    Trackpicks # 1 NFL Regular Season

    Trackpicks # 1 CBB Regular Season

    Futures win: Denver +800 to win the AFC West (posted) (Win)

    Futures loss: San Fransisco +450 to win the NFC (Guessing Lines Show) (Loss)

    Futures Win: Virginia Tech CFB OVER 10 wins (Win)

    Futures Pending: Bulls +250 to win the East

    Futures Pending: Clippers +650 to win the West

    Tampa Bay Rays +1000 to win the AL

    SF Giants +650 to win the NL

    "I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

  • davessler

    We are looking like Pros at the moment, Doc.

    Ha-Ha, well I could've done without that last run before halftime, but Needham is playing his ass off. He will need a lot more help in the 2nd half though. The Johnson's and Evanovich need to get more shots to go in the hole. I would bet Siena will make adjustments to slow Needham down in the 2nd half.

    Doc 

    I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! @Swandawg 
    on Twitter
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